RB · NO · 70 lines since 2023
Kendre Miller Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Kendre Miller, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 20% — we make it 25%
- Line 6.5 rush attempts — we project 8 (P(over) 62%)
- Line 23.5 rush yds — we project 24 (P(over) 50%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 7, under 8 (15 graded)
- Receiving yards over 4, under 4 (8 graded)
- Receptions over 3, under 4 (7 graded)
- Anytime TD over 4, under 20 (24 graded)
- Rush attempts over 3, under 1 (4 graded)
- Longest reception over 1, under 2 (3 graded)
Our calls on him: model 17–14 · Starters out on defense 1–2 · Dome team outdoors 3–2 · Missed tackles 1–6 · Pre-snap motion 0–1 · Short week 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 20% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 6.5 | 8 | 62% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 23.5 | 24 | 50% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 0 | 32% / 50% | 10 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 50% / 68% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 26.5 | 12 | 21% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 9% | – | void |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 17% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 1.5 | 0 | 39% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 1.5 | 0 | 39% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 45% / 58% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 7.5 | 7 | 49% / 52% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 26 | 35% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 48% / 51% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 48% / 49% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 49% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 7.5 | 9 | 62% / 51% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 30.5 | 34 | 56% / 51% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 0 | 17% / 42% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 45% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 39% / 47% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 33.5 | 26 | 37% / 52% | 41 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 14% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 2.5 | 0 | 37% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 0 | 37% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 12 | 43% / 51% | 65 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 4.5 | 4 | 42% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 13 | 43% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 22.5 | 38 | 74% / 49% | 24 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 3.7 | 26% / 50% | 16 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 13% / 39% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 43 | 42% / 51% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 6.7 | 24% / 51% | 16 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 22% / 53% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 52.5 | 47 | 42% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 32.5 | 16 | 22% / 50% | 46 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 26% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 27.5 | 14 | 23% / 49% | 32 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 10.5 | 17 | 68% / 49% | 16 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rush yds | 7.5 | 8.2 | 52% / 55% | 36 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 21% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 8% | – | void |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 17% | – | void |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | – | – / 10% | – | void |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rush yds | 18.5 | 20 | 54% / 50% | -1 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | – | – / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 8.5 | – | – / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | – | – / 46% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rush yds | 38.5 | – | – / 49% | 34 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 21% | – | void |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 20% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 26.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 1.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 1.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 35.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 35.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 35.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 35.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 35.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 30.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 33.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 33.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 2.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 2.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 14.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 14.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 4.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 15.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 22.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Over 49.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Under 49.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Over 52.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Under 52.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Under 52.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Under 32.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Under 32.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Over 27.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W14 Under 27.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 27.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W8 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W8 Over 10.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Over 10.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W7 Under 7.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Under 7.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W6 Over 18.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W3 Under 38.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology