RB · TB · 209 lines since 2023
Kenny Gainwell Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Kenny Gainwell, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 20% — we make it 20%
- Line 9.5 yds longest rec — we project 7.3 (P(over) 38%)
- Line 11.5 rec yds — we project 11 (P(over) 48%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 2 (P(over) 60%)
- Line 27.5 rush + rec yds — we project 25 (P(over) 46%)
- Line 12.5 rush yds — we project 12 (P(over) 49%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 19, under 28 (47 graded)
- Receiving yards over 19, under 20 (39 graded)
- Receptions over 19, under 14 (33 graded)
- Anytime TD over 10, under 44 (54 graded)
- Rush attempts over 4, under 10 (14 graded)
- Longest reception over 7, under 9 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: Pre-snap motion 3–0 · Short week 1–1 · Missed tackles 13–8 · model 42–76 · Blitz-heavy defense 0–1 · Big underdog (6.5+) 0–1 · Starters out on defense 3–4
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 20% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.3 | 38% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 11 | 48% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 60% / 60% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 27.5 | 25 | 46% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 12.5 | 12 | 49% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 18% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 10 | 52% / 50% | 22 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 61% / 59% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 17 | 56% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 10 | 53% / 50% | 14 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 59% / 59% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 18.5 | 20 | 53% / 50% | -4 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 42% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 61% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 26.5 | 26 | 49% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 25 | 55% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 22.5 | 32 | 66% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 12.5 | 9.9 | 37% / 49% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 19 | 28% / 51% | 64 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 31% / 56% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rush att | 8.5 | 9 | 50% / 48% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rush yds | 30.5 | 34 | 56% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 12.5 | 11 | 40% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 20 | 31% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 27% / 47% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 9.5 | 8 | 33% / 48% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 36.5 | 32 | 43% / 49% | 26 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 11.5 | 10 | 44% / 52% | 45 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 20 | 34% / 50% | 78 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 30% / 48% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 33% / 54% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 31.5 | 26 | 41% / 49% | 50 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 12.5 | 9.9 | 37% / 49% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 17 | 37% / 50% | 46 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 37% / 54% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 30% / 41% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 27.5 | 25 | 45% / 51% | 80 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 26% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.2 | 42% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 16 | 43% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 57% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 6.5 | 6 | 40% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 24.5 | 21 | 43% / 49% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 10.5 | 8.8 | 41% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 15 | 44% / 51% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 33% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 36% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 28.5 | 25 | 45% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 9.5 | 9.5 | 50% / 51% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 16 | 51% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 53% / 56% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 6.5 | 5 | 38% / 49% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 21.5 | 19 | 44% / 51% | 92 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 23% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 9.5 | 9.4 | 50% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 15 | 56% / 51% | 81 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 45% / 41% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 8.5 | 7.4 | 43% / 52% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 44% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 5.5 | 5 | 45% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 18 | 57% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 8.5 | 8.4 | 50% / 50% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 14 | 48% / 49% | 35 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 48% / 41% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 5.5 | 6 | 58% / 44% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 20.5 | 26 | 60% / 49% | -1 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.3 | 44% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 14 | 49% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 5.5 | 6 | 62% / 47% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 18.5 | 25 | 64% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 9.5 | 10 | 54% / 48% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 18 | 48% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 59% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 7.5 | 7 | 49% / 44% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 25.5 | 31 | 59% / 53% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 9.5 | 9.9 | 53% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 18 | 55% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 26.5 | 42 | 73% / 48% | 22 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 39% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 11.5 | 7.5 | 31% / 48% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 11 | 32% / 50% | 35 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 19% / 47% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 13.5 | 8 | 14% / 48% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 50.5 | 28 | 17% / 51% | 99 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.6 | 45% / 48% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 13 | 42% / 51% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 47% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 6.5 | 7 | 57% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 23.5 | 25 | 53% / 51% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 7.5 | 6.7 | 46% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 8.7 | 39% / 50% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 46% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 8.5 | 7 | 39% / 45% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 27.5 | 26 | 47% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 16.5 | 21 | 59% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 16.5 | 17 | 52% / 47% | 7 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 11.5 | 15 | 60% / 50% | 20 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 20.5 | 20 | 49% / 51% | 26 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 1.5 | 1.7 | 51% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 12.5 | 17 | 61% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 13% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 13.5 | 21 | 65% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 13.5 | 19 | 62% / 52% | 43 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 13.5 | 17 | 57% / 48% | 30 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 2.8 | 51% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 58% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 13.5 | 18 | 60% / 48% | 9 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 15 | 67% / 50% | 19 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rush yds | 7.5 | 11 | 59% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 5.1 | 45% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 33% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 14 | 65% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 6.0 | 56% / 50% | 10 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 12.5 | 17 | 60% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 8.4 | 50% / 49% | 15 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 44% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rush yds | 20.5 | 22 | 54% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 7.8 | 51% / 50% | 38 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 41% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 19 | 49% / 50% | 41 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 8.4 | 50% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 17 | 56% / 51% | 21 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 9.8 | 51% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rush yds | 9.5 | 14 | 61% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 8.1 | 52% / 51% | 42 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 50% / 45% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rush yds | 11.5 | 12 | 51% / 47% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 7.8 | 55% / 52% | 10 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 41% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rush yds | 10.5 | 15 | 63% / 51% | 26 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 8.1 | 55% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 50% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 16 | 50% / 49% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 23% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 8.1 | 49% / 49% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 45% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 18 | 55% / 50% | 22 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 4.8 | 48% / 47% | 30 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 67% / 67% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rush yds | 17.5 | 22 | 61% / 50% | -4 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 7.8 | 51% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rush yds | 11.5 | 21 | 72% / 49% | 16 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 7.6 | 50% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 41% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 28 | 66% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 10 | 55% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rush yds | 21.5 | 28 | 61% / 50% | 17 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 11 | 57% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 58% / 46% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rush yds | 28.5 | 31 | 54% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 51% TD chance | 51% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 17 | 70% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 3 | 77% / 52% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rush yds | 32.5 | 47 | 70% / 50% | 43 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 7.5 | – | – / 50% | 20 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rush yds | 22.5 | – | – / 52% | 54 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Over 12.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Under 12.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Under 14.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 14.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (Blitz-heavy defense, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 18.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Over 26.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 22.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 22.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 30.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 30.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 30.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 29.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 9.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 36.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 36.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 11.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 7.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 31.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 31.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 31.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 27.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 6.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 24.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 28.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 28.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 6.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 21.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 21.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 15.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 5.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology