WR · NO · 44 lines since 2023
Kevin Austin Jr. Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Kevin Austin Jr., what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 4% — we make it 4%
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 2, under 7 (9 graded)
- Receptions over 3, under 7 (10 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 18 (19 graded)
- Longest reception over 2, under 1 (3 graded)
Our calls on him: model 6–10 · Starters out on defense 1–2 · Dome team outdoors 3–1 · Pre-snap motion 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 17.5 | 19 | 55% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 38 | 46% / 50% | 37 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 34% / 42% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 20% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 13.5 | 8.6 | 38% / 51% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 11 | 28% / 50% | 52 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 18% / 44% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 13.5 | 4.6 | 32% / 50% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 5.0 | 26% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 24% / 60% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 18 | 43% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 35% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 23 | 50% / 51% | 23 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 40% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 26 | 46% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 53% / 53% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 23 | 55% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 65% / 61% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 23 | 45% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 45% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 40% / 32% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 13 | 41% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 54% | 1 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 23.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 23.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 23.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Over 22.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Under 22.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Under 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Under 28.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Over 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Over 26.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 26.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W11 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W11 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology