WR · MIA · 12 lines since 2023
Kevin Coleman Jr. Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Kevin Coleman Jr., what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 11% — we make it 9%
- Line 13.5 yds longest rec — we project 11 (P(over) 44%)
- Line 18.5 rec yds — we project 13 (P(over) 42%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 42%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 0, under 2 (2 graded)
- Receptions over 0, under 2 (2 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 4 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: model 4–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 13.5 | 11 | 44% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 13 | 42% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 57% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 6.8 | 34% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 31% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 3.6 | 29% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 24% / 45% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 6% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology