RB · SF · 112 lines since 2023
Kyle Juszczyk Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Kyle Juszczyk, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 14, under 14 (28 graded)
- Receptions over 9, under 8 (17 graded)
- Anytime TD over 8, under 47 (55 graded)
- Longest reception over 4, under 7 (11 graded)
Our calls on him: model 25–38
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | – | – / 8% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 4.8 | 40% / 50% | 28 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 32% / 38% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 4.3 | 38% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 31% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 11% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 4.4 | 44% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 32% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 6.5 | 4.3 | 40% / 52% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 4.8 | 42% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 36% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 11% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 8.5 | 3.6 | 33% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 4.0 | 35% / 50% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 29% / 39% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 5.5 | 5.3 | 49% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 6.1 | 46% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 69% / 67% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 5.5 | 2.6 | 38% / 49% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 2.9 | 41% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 27% / 35% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 6.5 | 4.2 | 40% / 48% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 4.8 | 41% / 50% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 37% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 5.0 | 43% / 50% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 4.5 | 3.3 | 44% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 3.8 | 43% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 64% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 6 | 52% / 50% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 70% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 8.5 | 5.6 | 37% / 48% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 6.8 | 43% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 45% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 7.5 | 4.5 | 34% / 51% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 5.1 | 33% / 50% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 49% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 5.5 | 4.5 | 45% / 48% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 4.9 | 48% / 49% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 15% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 5.5 | 4.2 | 45% / 49% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 4.6 | 48% / 46% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 6.5 | 3.7 | 39% / 48% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 4.0 | 34% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 9% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 12% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 5.4 | 47% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 3.5 | 3.3 | 49% / 49% | 12 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 59% / 58% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 6.9 | 51% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 69% / 63% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 5 | 27% / 49% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 30% / 58% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 7.1 | 41% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 13% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 4.1 | 42% / 51% | 10 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 6.8 | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 9.3 | 45% / 50% | 12 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 13 | 39% / 51% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 9.4 | 59% / 51% | 19 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 5.3 | 60% / 50% | 40 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 58% / 46% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 11% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 12% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 32% / 50% | 26 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 10% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 5.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 4.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W10 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W10 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W8 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W7 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W6 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W3 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W2 Over 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W1 Over 2.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W18 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W17 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W16 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W16 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W15 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W14 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W13 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W11 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W10 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W8 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology