Edgehalla

TE · TEN · 102 lines since 2023

Kylen Granson Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Kylen Granson, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 3% — we make it 2%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 9, under 18 (27 graded)
  • Receptions over 5, under 17 (22 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 1, under 47 (48 graded)

Our calls on him: model 8–9 · Dome team outdoors 7–4 · Wind 15+ mph 0–1 · Middle of the field 1–0 · Starters out on defense 0–3 · Pre-snap motion 1–0

Line vs actual vs our projection

Kylen Granson prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 3%–…
2026 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 3%–void
2026 W3Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 4%–void
2026 W2Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 3%–void
2026 W1Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 3%–void
2025 W17Any TD–1% TD chance1% / 4%0under
2025 W16Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%0under
2025 W15Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%0under
2025 W14Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 3%0under
2025 W13Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 3%0under
2025 W12Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%0under
2025 W11Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%0under
2025 W10Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 3%0under
2025 W8Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 7%0under
2025 W7Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 5%0under
2025 W6Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 6%0under
2025 W5Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%0under
2025 W4Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 3%0under
2025 W3Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 4%0under
2025 W2Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2025 W1Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 4%0under
2024 W18Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 15%0under
2024 W18Rec yds16.58.235% / 51%7under
2024 W17Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 13%0under
2024 W16Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 19%0under
2024 W16Rec yds8.59.252% / 50%0under
2024 W16Rec0.5169% / 66%0under
2024 W15Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 9%0under
2024 W15Rec yds7.57.149% / 51%47over
2024 W13Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 11%0under
2024 W13Rec yds9.58.347% / 51%0under
2024 W13Rec1.5134% / 36%0under
2024 W12Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 9%0under
2024 W12Rec yds7.56.448% / 51%0under
2024 W12Rec0.5163% / 65%0under
2024 W11Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2024 W11Rec yds5.54.547% / 49%4under
2024 W11Rec0.5161% / 57%1over
2024 W10Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 10%0under
2024 W10Rec yds6.55.448% / 51%15over
2024 W9Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 8%0under
2024 W8Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2024 W7Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 8%0under
2024 W6Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 9%0under
2024 W5Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 13%0under
2024 W5Rec yds9.59.650% / 50%0under
2024 W5Rec1.5139% / 39%0under
2024 W4Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 10%0under
2024 W4Rec yds10.51150% / 51%0under
2024 W4Rec1.5142% / 40%0under
2024 W3Any TD–21% TD chance21% / 13%0under
2024 W3Rec yds13.51451% / 51%40over
2024 W3Rec1.5150% / 50%1under
2024 W2Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 18%0under
2024 W2Rec yds18.51339% / 50%9under
2024 W2Rec1.5147% / 59%1under
2024 W1Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 24%0under
2024 W1Rec yds21.52049% / 51%0under
2024 W1Rec2.5240% / 43%0under
2023 W18Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 18%0under
2023 W18Rec yds23.52147% / 49%23under
2023 W18Rec2.5239% / 48%1under
2023 W17Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 17%0under
2023 W17Rec yds20.52455% / 49%13under
2023 W17Rec2.5245% / 44%1under
2023 W16Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 14%0under
2023 W16Rec yds16.51852% / 50%62over
2023 W16Rec1.5258% / 56%5over
2023 W15Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 15%0under
2023 W15Rec yds15.51752% / 50%6under
2023 W15Rec1.5254% / 55%1under
2023 W14Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 16%0under
2023 W14Rec yds12.51657% / 49%17over
2023 W13Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 17%0under
2023 W13Rec yds12.51555% / 50%72over
2023 W12Any TD–21% TD chance21% / 21%0under
2023 W12Rec yds21.51946% / 50%0under
2023 W12Rec2.5238% / 45%0under
2023 W10Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 20%0under
2023 W10Rec yds26.52650% / 50%5under
2023 W10Rec2.5351% / 53%1under
2023 W9Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 18%0under
2023 W9Rec yds19.51948% / 50%0under
2023 W9Rec2.5238% / 38%0under
2023 W6Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 19%0under
2023 W6Rec yds20.52152% / 51%67over
2023 W6Rec2.5350% / 47%3over
2023 W5Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 20%0under
2023 W5Rec yds23.52247% / 50%15under
2023 W5Rec2.5351% / 49%2under
2023 W4Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 14%0under
2023 W4Rec yds20.52050% / 50%24over
2023 W4Rec2.5351% / 46%2under
2023 W3Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 19%0under
2023 W3Rec yds25.52346% / 50%9under
2023 W3Rec2.5362% / 56%2under
2023 W2Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 20%1over
2023 W2Rec yds21.52556% / 50%16under
2023 W2Rec2.5362% / 45%3over
2023 W1Any TD––– / 14%0under
2023 W1Rec yds19.5–– / 50%39over
2023 W1Rec1.5–– / 62%4over

Our calls

  • 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) void
  • 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W18 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W15 Under 7.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W15 Under 7.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W13 Under 9.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W11 Under 5.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W11 Under 5.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W6 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W5 Under 9.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W4 Over 10.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W2 Under 18.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W2 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W2 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W18 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W17 Over 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W14 Under 12.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W14 Over 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W13 Under 12.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W13 Over 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W12 Over 21.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W10 Under 26.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W9 Over 19.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W9 Under 19.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W6 Under 20.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W5 Under 23.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W4 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W3 Under 25.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W3 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W2 Over 21.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W2 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology