WR · IND · 27 lines since 2023
Laquon Treadwell Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Laquon Treadwell, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 14% — we make it 12%
- Line 12.5 yds longest rec — we project 13 (P(over) 52%)
- Line 15.5 rec yds — we project 20 (P(over) 57%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 2 (P(over) 64%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 14 (14 graded)
Our calls on him: Middle of the field 1–0 · model 2–2
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 14% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 12.5 | 13 | 52% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 20 | 57% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 64% / 47% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 4.9 | 18% / 50% | 42 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 26% / 60% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 4.0 | 20% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 26% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 6% | – | void |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 6% | – | void |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 5% | – | void |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 4% | – | void |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | – | – / 8% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 27.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology