WR · MIA · 125 lines since 2023
Malik Washington Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Malik Washington, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 26% — we make it 26%
- Line 17.5 yds longest rec — we project 19 (P(over) 55%)
- Line 47.5 rec yds — we project 43 (P(over) 44%)
- Line 4.5 receptions — we project 4 (P(over) 50%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 3, under 6 (9 graded)
- Receiving yards over 14, under 14 (28 graded)
- Receptions over 17, under 11 (28 graded)
- Anytime TD over 6, under 29 (35 graded)
- Rush attempts over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Longest reception over 6, under 11 (17 graded)
Our calls on him: Missed tackles 3–2 · model 31–25 · Freezing 2–1 · Pre-snap motion 4–3 · Starters out on defense 2–4 · Short week 1–2 · Wind 15+ mph 1–3
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 26% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 17.5 | 19 | 55% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 43 | 44% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 50% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 34 | 40% / 50% | 67 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 40% / 46% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 4.5 | 0 | 24% / 51% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 42 | 55% / 50% | 56 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 67% / 54% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 23 | 33% / 50% | 43 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 34% / 47% | 4 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 40 | 68% / 50% | 53 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 5 | 80% / 58% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 21% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 17.5 | 11 | 24% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 17 | 24% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 48% / 56% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 10.5 | 11 | 51% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 16 | 52% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 40% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 18% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 10.5 | 12 | 56% / 50% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 19 | 53% / 50% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 45% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 12.5 | 12 | 50% / 51% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 21 | 46% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 33% / 41% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 37% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 13.5 | 13 | 48% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 21 | 41% / 48% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 28% / 43% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 12.5 | 14 | 54% / 51% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 23 | 50% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 31% / 42% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 13.5 | 14 | 54% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 24 | 43% / 51% | 42 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 30% / 51% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 26% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 13.5 | 13 | 50% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 23 | 40% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 32% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 13.5 | 15 | 54% / 52% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 26 | 42% / 51% | 48 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 39% / 58% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 1.5 | 0 | 38% / 50% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 19% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 13.5 | 13 | 46% / 48% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 22 | 43% / 50% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 37% / 51% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 5.5 | 0 | 26% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 9.5 | 10 | 55% / 52% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 17 | 52% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 1.1 | 25% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 12.5 | 13 | 52% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 21 | 45% / 51% | 22 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 26% / 43% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 1.1 | 32% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 15.5 | 13 | 41% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 18 | 35% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 17% / 46% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 2.6 | 34% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 13.5 | 14 | 52% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 21 | 50% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 3.0 | 38% / 50% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 14.5 | 13 | 45% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 19 | 43% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 56% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 4.5 | 0.3 | 34% / 50% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 17% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 13.5 | 13 | 48% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 18 | 40% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 34% / 53% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 13.5 | 13 | 50% / 51% | 11 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 20 | 47% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 13 | 37% / 49% | 41 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 56% / 63% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 15 | 28% / 51% | 28 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 32% / 59% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 6.0 | 40% / 50% | 52 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 30% / 44% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 6.0 | 42% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 29% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 4.9 | 44% / 49% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 26% / 40% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 5.6 | 48% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 63% / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 1.5 | 0 | 45% / 50% | 11 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 48% / 52% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | – | – / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | – | – / 8% | – | void |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 9% | – | void |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 20% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 40.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 4.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 32.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 32.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 15.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 17.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 17.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 23.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 23.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 0.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 25.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 22.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 28.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 28.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 28.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 30.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 30.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 30.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 1.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 26.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 26.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 26.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 5.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 16.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 16.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 8.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 6.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Over 27.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 1.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 8.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 20.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 20.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 6.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology