RB · LV · 14 lines since 2023
Mike Washington Jr. Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Mike Washington Jr., what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 27% — we make it 15%
- Line 0.5 rec yds — we project 0 (P(over) 38%)
- Line 0.5 receptions — we project 0 (P(over) 39%)
- Line 7.5 rush attempts — we project 5 (P(over) 22%)
- Line 37.5 rush + rec yds — we project 25 (P(over) 29%)
- Line 28.5 rush yds — we project 21 (P(over) 36%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 3, under 1 (4 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 3 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: Missed tackles 0–1 · model 1–2
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 27% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 38% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 39% / 54% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 7.5 | 5 | 22% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 37.5 | 25 | 29% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 28.5 | 21 | 36% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 16.5 | 12 | 38% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 17% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 8.4 | 30% / 50% | 54 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 17.5 | 7.3 | 25% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 30.5 | – | – / 50% | 41 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 16.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 16.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 15.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 17.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology