Edgehalla

TE · IND · 80 lines since 2023

Mo Alie-Cox Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Mo Alie-Cox, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 5% — we make it 8%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 7, under 8 (15 graded)
  • Receptions over 3, under 6 (9 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 5, under 49 (54 graded)
  • Longest reception over 0, under 1 (1 graded)

Our calls on him: Starters out on defense 0–5 · model 5–10 · Dome team outdoors 0–4 · Middle of the field 0–1

Line vs actual vs our projection

Mo Alie-Cox prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 5%–…
2026 W4Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 10%0under
2026 W4Rec yds3.50.943% / 47%0under
2026 W3Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2026 W2Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 10%0under
2026 W1Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 11%0under
2025 W17Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%1over
2025 W16Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%0under
2025 W15Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2025 W14Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 6%0under
2025 W13Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 9%0under
2025 W12Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2025 W10Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 8%0under
2025 W10Long rec1.5039% / 50%0under
2025 W10Rec yds1.5039% / 50%0under
2025 W9Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 9%0under
2025 W8Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 8%0under
2025 W7Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 9%0under
2025 W6Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2025 W5Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 8%0under
2025 W4Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 7%0under
2025 W3Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 8%0under
2025 W2Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 10%0under
2025 W1Any TD–24% TD chance24% / 9%0under
2024 W18Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 13%0under
2024 W17Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 13%0under
2024 W16Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 10%0under
2024 W15Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 8%0under
2024 W13Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 11%0under
2024 W12Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 13%0under
2024 W12Rec yds6.55.849% / 51%0under
2024 W12Rec0.5164% / 64%0under
2024 W11Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 11%0under
2024 W11Rec yds3.53.450% / 51%17over
2024 W11Rec0.5158% / 55%2over
2024 W10Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 14%0under
2024 W10Rec yds9.57.246% / 51%0under
2024 W10Rec1.5133% / 38%0under
2024 W9Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 17%0under
2024 W9Rec yds9.57.846% / 51%0under
2024 W9Rec1.5135% / 40%0under
2024 W8Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 13%0under
2024 W8Rec yds6.58.053% / 49%0under
2024 W7Any TD–23% TD chance23% / 14%0under
2024 W7Rec yds9.51255% / 50%0under
2024 W7Rec1.5144% / 35%0under
2024 W6Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 17%0under
2024 W6Rec yds9.55.039% / 50%41over
2024 W5Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 14%1over
2024 W5Rec yds5.5037% / 51%37over
2024 W4Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2024 W4Rec yds5.50.738% / 49%0under
2024 W4Rec0.5152% / 54%0under
2024 W3Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 8%0under
2024 W2Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 10%0under
2024 W2Rec yds3.53.049% / 49%22over
2024 W2Rec0.5155% / 55%1over
2024 W1Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 13%0under
2023 W18Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 11%0under
2023 W18Rec yds7.52.938% / 50%18over
2023 W18Rec1.5121% / 36%2over
2023 W17Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 11%0under
2023 W17Rec yds7.51.235% / 45%18over
2023 W16Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 15%0under
2023 W15Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 10%1over
2023 W14Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 11%1over
2023 W13Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 10%0under
2023 W12Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 13%0under
2023 W10Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 13%0under
2023 W9Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 13%0under
2023 W8Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 15%0under
2023 W8Rec yds8.50.328% / 50%11over
2023 W8Rec1.5118% / 36%1under
2023 W7Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 11%0under
2023 W6Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 11%0under
2023 W5Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 9%0under
2023 W4Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 8%1over
2023 W3Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 10%0under
2023 W2Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 13%0under
2023 W1Any TD––– / 20%0under

Our calls

  • 2026 W4 Over 3.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2025 W10 Under 1.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W10 Under 1.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W13 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W11 Under 3.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W11 Under 3.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W10 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W9 Over 9.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W8 Over 6.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W7 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W7 Over 9.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W7 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W6 Under 9.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W6 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W5 Under 5.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W5 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W4 Over 5.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W4 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W2 Under 3.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W18 Under 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W18 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W17 Under 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W8 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W8 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology