Edgehalla

RB · GB · 50 lines since 2023

Pierre Strong Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Pierre Strong, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 9% — we make it 10%

Over/under record by market

  • Rushing yards over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
  • Receiving yards over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
  • Receptions over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 2, under 37 (39 graded)

Our calls on him: model 2–1 · Missed tackles 0–1

Line vs actual vs our projection

Pierre Strong prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 9%–…
2025 W15Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 7%–void
2025 W12Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%–void
2024 W17Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2024 W16Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 13%0under
2024 W15Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 7%0under
2024 W14Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2024 W13Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%–void
2024 W11Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 11%0under
2024 W9Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 13%0under
2024 W8Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 18%0under
2024 W7Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 25%0under
2024 W7Rec yds10.58.344% / 50%9under
2024 W7Rec1.5147% / 56%1under
2024 W7Rush yds19.52255% / 49%6under
2024 W6Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2024 W5Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 16%0under
2024 W2Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 15%0under
2024 W1Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 17%0under
2023 W18Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 29%0under
2023 W18Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 36%0under
2023 W17Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%0under
2023 W17Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 13%0under
2023 W16Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 12%0under
2023 W16Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 12%0under
2023 W15Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 11%0under
2023 W15Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 16%0under
2023 W14Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2023 W14Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 9%0under
2023 W13Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%0under
2023 W13Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 11%0under
2023 W12Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2023 W12Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 6%0under
2023 W11Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 8%0under
2023 W11Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 5%0under
2023 W10Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%–void
2023 W10Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 15%–void
2023 W9Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 26%0under
2023 W9Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 18%0under
2023 W8Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 15%0under
2023 W8Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 19%0under
2023 W7Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 8%0under
2023 W6Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 12%0under
2023 W4Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 16%0under
2023 W3Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 18%0under
2023 W3Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 28%0under
2023 W2Any TD––– / 5%1over
2023 W2Any TD––– / 3%1over
2023 W1Any TD––– / 8%–void
2023 W1Any TD––– / 7%–void

Our calls

  • 2024 W7 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W7 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W7 Over 19.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W7 Over 19.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology