RB · CLE · 103 lines since 2023
Quinshon Judkins Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Quinshon Judkins, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 37% — we make it 38%
- Line 9.5 yds longest rec — we project 7.9 (P(over) 42%)
- Line 15.5 rec yds — we project 12 (P(over) 41%)
- Line 2.5 receptions — we project 2 (P(over) 44%)
- Line 16.5 rush attempts — we project 13 (P(over) 30%)
- Line 76.5 rush + rec yds — we project 54 (P(over) 27%)
- Line 59.5 rush yds — we project 38 (P(over) 25%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 6, under 12 (18 graded)
- Receiving yards over 9, under 8 (17 graded)
- Receptions over 9, under 8 (17 graded)
- Anytime TD over 5, under 13 (18 graded)
- Rush attempts over 7, under 7 (14 graded)
- Longest reception over 6, under 6 (12 graded)
Our calls on him: model 38–30 · Missed tackles 3–8 · Short week 1–0 · Starters out on defense 2–0 · Big underdog (6.5+) 4–3 · Pre-snap motion 1–3 · Red-zone defense 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 37% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.9 | 42% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 12 | 41% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 16.5 | 13 | 30% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 76.5 | 54 | 27% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 59.5 | 38 | 25% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 8.9 | 42% / 50% | 43 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 31% / 37% | 6 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 56.5 | 36 | 23% / 50% | 53 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 44% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 60.5 | 40 | 25% / 50% | 70 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 6.9 | 34% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 21% / 39% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 32 | 25% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 45% TD chance | 45% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 13 | 61% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 70% / 55% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 56.5 | 41 | 29% / 50% | 33 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 8.5 | 5.8 | 36% / 50% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 7.7 | 35% / 50% | 29 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 26% / 45% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 17.5 | 17 | 49% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 48 | 30% / 50% | 22 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 7.5 | 6.1 | 42% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 7.8 | 41% / 50% | -4 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 55% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 19.5 | 19 | 46% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 77.5 | 52 | 23% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 54% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 5.5 | 3.8 | 41% / 52% | 58 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 4.4 | 42% / 50% | 58 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 21.5 | 19 | 39% / 48% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 82.5 | 66 | 33% / 51% | 26 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 4.5 | 3.4 | 44% / 51% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 3.9 | 44% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 36% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 17.5 | 17 | 45% / 52% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 69.5 | 47 | 23% / 49% | 91 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 4.5 | 3.9 | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 4.4 | 46% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 18.5 | 17 | 44% / 48% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 69.5 | 56 | 35% / 50% | 47 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 5.2 | 41% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush att | 18.5 | 16 | 36% / 50% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 70.5 | 48 | 25% / 51% | 59 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 46% TD chance | 46% / 57% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 4.5 | 4.9 | 53% / 52% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 6.3 | 53% / 49% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 38% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 19.5 | 18 | 40% / 49% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 85.5 | 65 | 31% / 50% | 75 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 6.5 | 4.2 | 38% / 52% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 4.8 | 38% / 50% | -2 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 50% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 17.5 | 16 | 42% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 66.5 | 56 | 39% / 49% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 7.5 | 5.4 | 40% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 6.9 | 42% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 54% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 20.5 | 17 | 33% / 51% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 92.5 | 67 | 26% / 53% | 84 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 7.5 | 6.1 | 41% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 8.3 | 45% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 18.5 | 16 | 39% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 77.5 | 63 | 34% / 50% | 36 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 8.5 | 5.8 | 35% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 8.1 | 33% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 32% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 18.5 | 15 | 33% / 51% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 56 | 30% / 51% | 110 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 40% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 7.5 | 4.8 | 33% / 50% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 6.0 | 33% / 49% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 58% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 14.5 | 9 | 14% / 48% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 57.5 | 38 | 24% / 51% | 82 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 29% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 7.5 | 3.6 | 30% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 4.4 | 33% / 49% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 11.5 | 4 | 1% / 49% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 42.5 | 15 | 9% / 49% | 94 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 3.5 | – | – / 56% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 13.5 | – | – / 49% | 61 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 56.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 56.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 56.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 60.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 60.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 60.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Over 48.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 48.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 56.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 17.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 64.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 64.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 19.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 77.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 5.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 21.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 82.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 82.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 82.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 4.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 17.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 69.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 69.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 69.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 69.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 69.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 18.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 18.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 70.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 19.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 85.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 85.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 17.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology