Edgehalla

RB · CLE · 36 lines since 2023

Raheim Sanders Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Raheim Sanders, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 12% — we make it 13%
  • Line 8.5 yds longest rec — we project 6.0 (P(over) 36%)
  • Line 10.5 rec yds — we project 7.7 (P(over) 40%)
  • Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 49%)

Over/under record by market

  • Rushing yards over 3, under 2 (5 graded)
  • Receiving yards over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
  • Receptions over 2, under 0 (2 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 1, under 7 (8 graded)
  • Rush attempts over 1, under 1 (2 graded)

Our calls on him: model 5–4 · Missed tackles 1–2 · Short week 0–1 · Starters out on defense 2–1 · Big underdog (6.5+) 1–0

Line vs actual vs our projection

Raheim Sanders prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 12%–…
2026 W5Long rec8.56.036% / 49%–…
2026 W5Rec yds10.57.740% / 50%–…
2026 W5Rec1.5149% / 59%–…
2026 W4Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 13%0under
2026 W4Rec yds11.57.738% / 50%7under
2026 W4Rec1.5250% / 60%2over
2026 W4Rush yds5.59.262% / 50%9over
2026 W3Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 13%0under
2026 W3Rec yds2.53.755% / 50%34over
2026 W3Rec0.5166% / 59%4over
2026 W3Rush yds6.56.751% / 51%17over
2026 W2Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 11%0under
2026 W2Rush yds9.59.651% / 50%4under
2026 W1Any TD–37% TD chance37% / 5%0under
2025 W18Any TD–26% TD chance26% / 26%0under
2025 W18Rush att7.5742% / 55%5under
2025 W18Rush yds30.52132% / 50%26under
2025 W17Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 26%0under
2025 W17Rush att5.5429% / 49%8over
2025 W17Rush yds19.51127% / 50%21over
2025 W16Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2025 W15Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 9%–void
2025 W15Rush yds11.52.920% / 49%–void
2025 W14Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%–void
2025 W13Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 4%–void
2025 W12Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 3%–void
2025 W11Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 7%–void
2025 W8Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 4%–void
2025 W7Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 8%–void
2025 W6Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 5%–void
2025 W5Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 6%–void
2025 W4Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 3%–void
2025 W3Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 4%–void
2025 W2Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%–void
2025 W1Any TD––– / 5%1over

Our calls

  • 2026 W4 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W4 Over 5.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W4 Over 5.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W4 Under 5.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W3 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W3 Over 6.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W3 Under 6.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2025 W18 Under 7.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W18 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W18 Over 30.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W18 Over 30.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W18 Under 30.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Under 5.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W17 Over 19.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Under 19.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W15 Under 11.5 rush yds (model, backtest) void

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology