Edgehalla

RB · BAL · 43 lines since 2023

Rasheen Ali Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Rasheen Ali, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 3% — we make it 9%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
  • Receptions over 3, under 1 (4 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 1, under 13 (14 graded)
  • Longest reception over 2, under 1 (3 graded)

Our calls on him: model 4–9

Line vs actual vs our projection

Rasheen Ali prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 3%–…
2026 W4Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 3%–void
2026 W3Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 5%–void
2026 W2Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 4%–void
2026 W1Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 6%–void
2025 W18Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 9%0under
2025 W18Rec yds8.54.637% / 51%0under
2025 W18Rec1.5134% / 42%0under
2025 W17Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 9%0under
2025 W17Long rec6.51.728% / 48%5under
2025 W17Rec yds6.51.832% / 51%8over
2025 W17Rec1.5123% / 42%2over
2025 W16Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 13%0under
2025 W16Long rec4.51.940% / 51%7over
2025 W16Rec yds4.5242% / 51%2under
2025 W16Rec1.5122% / 40%2over
2025 W15Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 11%1over
2025 W15Long rec5.5031% / 49%30over
2025 W15Rec yds8.5025% / 48%32over
2025 W15Rec1.5014% / 38%2over
2025 W14Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 11%0under
2025 W13Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 7%0under
2025 W12Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%–void
2025 W11Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%0under
2025 W10Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 3%–void
2025 W9Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 4%–void
2025 W8Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%–void
2025 W6Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 5%0under
2025 W5Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 5%–void
2025 W4Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 6%0under
2025 W3Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 6%–void
2025 W2Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 8%–void
2025 W1Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 8%0under
2024 W18Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 23%0under
2024 W17Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 10%0under
2024 W16Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 6%0under
2024 W15Any TD––– / 9%0under
2024 W12Any TD––– / 4%–void
2024 W8Any TD––– / 5%–void
2024 W6Any TD––– / 4%–void
2024 W4Any TD––– / 4%–void
2024 W2Any TD––– / 5%–void
2024 W1Any TD––– / 5%–void

Our calls

  • 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) void
  • 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) void
  • 2026 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) void
  • 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) void
  • 2025 W18 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W18 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Under 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W17 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Under 4.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Under 4.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W16 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W15 Under 5.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W15 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W15 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
  • 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W16 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology