WR · SEA · 156 lines since 2023
Rashid Shaheed Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Rashid Shaheed, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 24% — we make it 16%
- Line 13.5 yds longest rec — we project 16 (P(over) 57%)
- Line 20.5 rec yds — we project 25 (P(over) 56%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 2 (P(over) 65%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 1, under 5 (6 graded)
- Receiving yards over 19, under 24 (43 graded)
- Receptions over 23, under 20 (43 graded)
- Anytime TD over 15, under 28 (43 graded)
- Longest reception over 6, under 11 (17 graded)
Our calls on him: Pre-snap motion 5–7 · model 25–29 · Short week 2–1 · Wind 15+ mph 1–0 · Missed tackles 1–1 · Starters out on defense 2–4 · Dome team outdoors 4–4 · Middle of the field 1–3 · Explosive plays 0–2
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 24% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 13.5 | 16 | 57% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 25 | 56% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 65% / 61% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 26% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 24 | 51% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 40% / 41% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 24 | 44% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 39% / 47% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 20 | 45% / 50% | 35 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 39% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 32 | 51% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 2.5 | 0 | 36% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 17.5 | 17 | 49% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 27 | 48% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 49% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 34% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 17.5 | 18 | 51% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 28 | 46% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 48% / 45% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 1.5 | 0 | 39% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 22% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 18.5 | 18 | 49% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 32 | 46% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 1.5 | 0 | 32% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 16.5 | 19 | 57% / 51% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 31 | 54% / 50% | 74 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 50% / 46% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 14.5 | 17 | 58% / 49% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 27 | 58% / 51% | 67 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 68% / 55% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 3.5 | 0 | 31% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 15.5 | 18 | 58% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 29 | 58% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 69% / 58% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 18.5 | 19 | 52% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 33 | 51% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 18.5 | 19 | 51% / 51% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 35 | 48% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 61% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 19.5 | 23 | 60% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 46 | 66% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 74% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 18.5 | 16 | 43% / 49% | 26 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 36 | 39% / 50% | 68 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 41% / 42% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 19.5 | 22 | 56% / 51% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 44 | 46% / 51% | 75 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 38% / 44% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 18.5 | 18 | 50% / 49% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 36 | 45% / 50% | 40 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 47% / 48% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 20.5 | 20 | 50% / 49% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 40 | 45% / 51% | 28 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3.5 | 50% / 53% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 18.5 | 19 | 51% / 50% | 87 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 36 | 42% / 51% | 114 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 46% / 55% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 17.5 | 17 | 48% / 49% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 33 | 44% / 50% | 47 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 49% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 19.5 | 18 | 43% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 36 | 45% / 49% | 42 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 55% / 44% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 18.5 | 18 | 49% / 50% | 39 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 35 | 42% / 50% | 52 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 47% / 50% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 49 | 60% / 52% | 33 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 61% / 43% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 29% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 54 | 63% / 51% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 60% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 29% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 44 | 45% / 51% | 86 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 53% / 56% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 44% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 44 | 50% / 50% | 83 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 46% / 46% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 53.5 | 44 | 42% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 30% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 30 | 40% / 51% | 96 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 32% / 46% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 29% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 26 | 38% / 51% | 73 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 42% / 59% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 38 | 48% / 50% | 65 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 40% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 39 | 52% / 51% | 14 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 62% / 61% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 23% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 42 | 60% / 52% | 70 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 66% / 55% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 38 | 45% / 51% | 36 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 40% / 43% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 35 | 46% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 59% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 36 | 52% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 54% / 49% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 40 | 56% / 50% | 22 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 33% / 29% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 37 | 52% / 50% | 153 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 33 | 46% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 53% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 28 | 46% / 50% | 85 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 48% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 29 | 49% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 35 | 50% / 50% | 33 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 61% / 51% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 42 | 51% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 59% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 40 | 50% / 50% | 63 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 58% / 41% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 21% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 35.5 | – | – / 49% | 89 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | – | – / 56% | 5 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Under 17.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W3 Under 28.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 2.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 29.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 0.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 1.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 35.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 35.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 35.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 35.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 1.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 14.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 20.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 3.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 23.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 32.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 36.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 36.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 32.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 32.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 44.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 44.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 44.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 44.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 40.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 40.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 45.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 45.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 42.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Over 42.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 37.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 37.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 40.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 40.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 41.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 39.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W6 Under 39.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W6 Over 39.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W6 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology