RB · PIT · 209 lines since 2023
Rico Dowdle Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Rico Dowdle, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 39% — we make it 26%
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 23, under 24 (47 graded)
- Receiving yards over 24, under 18 (42 graded)
- Receptions over 21, under 16 (37 graded)
- Anytime TD over 15, under 36 (51 graded)
- Rush attempts over 8, under 7 (15 graded)
- Longest reception over 8, under 8 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: model 55–81 · Missed tackles 9–7 · Pre-snap motion 4–6 · Big underdog (6.5+) 3–2 · Red-zone defense 0–1 · Starters out on defense 7–2 · Dome team outdoors 5–6 · Short week 1–2
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 39% | – | … |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 12 | 44% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 39% / 52% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 32.5 | 40 | 61% / 50% | 22 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 22 | 74% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 3 | 80% / 58% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 45.5 | 81 | 81% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.0 | 42% / 51% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 12 | 38% / 49% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 40% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rush att | 13.5 | 13 | 46% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rush yds | 54.5 | 54 | 50% / 49% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.7 | 40% / 48% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 12 | 43% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 44% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 13.5 | 14 | 50% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 47.5 | 49 | 52% / 50% | 59 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.8 | 42% / 48% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 42% / 51% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 30% / 42% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 14.5 | 14 | 47% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 58.5 | 58 | 49% / 49% | 29 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 8.5 | 7.5 | 45% / 48% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 9.9 | 49% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 59% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 13.5 | 15 | 59% / 51% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 56.5 | 69 | 61% / 50% | 49 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 10.5 | 7.3 | 33% / 52% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 11 | 30% / 49% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 57% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 15.5 | 13 | 33% / 52% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 59.5 | 51 | 40% / 52% | 58 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 58% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 10.5 | 7.5 | 37% / 52% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 10 | 34% / 50% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 32% / 57% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 18.5 | 13 | 19% / 48% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 56 | 30% / 50% | 38 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 8.5 | 5.2 | 33% / 51% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 6.7 | 24% / 49% | 55 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 20% / 49% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush att | 19.5 | 14 | 19% / 47% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 83.5 | 60 | 28% / 48% | 45 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 9.5 | 5.3 | 31% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 6.5 | 28% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 18% / 44% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 19.5 | 12 | 13% / 53% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 93.5 | 61 | 24% / 53% | 53 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 32% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 9.5 | 4.2 | 24% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 5.0 | 26% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 16% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 13.5 | 9 | 14% / 53% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 50.5 | 33 | 28% / 50% | 130 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 8.5 | 5.4 | 37% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 6.6 | 39% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 11.5 | 10 | 36% / 53% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 51.5 | 45 | 42% / 51% | 54 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 9.5 | 6.9 | 38% / 48% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 9.3 | 39% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 30% / 40% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 14.5 | 13 | 43% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 60.5 | 61 | 51% / 50% | 79 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.0 | 39% / 50% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 9.6 | 29% / 51% | 56 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 59% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 17.5 | 14 | 28% / 52% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 73.5 | 66 | 43% / 50% | 183 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 46% TD chance | 46% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.0 | 38% / 51% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 9.8 | 36% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 33% / 50% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 15.5 | 14 | 42% / 48% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 60.5 | 56 | 45% / 48% | 206 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 6.5 | 5.2 | 43% / 49% | -2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 6.7 | 51% / 52% | -2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 6.5 | 7 | 59% / 44% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 21.5 | 26 | 58% / 50% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 20% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 3.9 | 47% / 51% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 5.5 | 5 | 48% / 49% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 20 | 60% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 6.5 | 4.4 | 40% / 51% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 5.4 | 43% / 52% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 17.5 | 19 | 53% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 7.5 | 9.1 | 59% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 24.5 | 55 | 86% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 7.5 | 39% / 49% | 12 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rush yds | 62.5 | 65 | 52% / 51% | 72 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 9.0 | 30% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 53% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 59.5 | 52 | 40% / 50% | 104 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 8.5 | 28% / 52% | 28 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 27% / 56% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 71.5 | 68 | 47% / 48% | 23 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 8.4 | 39% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 79.5 | 67 | 38% / 50% | 149 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 11 | 36% / 49% | 10 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 35% / 53% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 57 | 42% / 49% | 131 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 50% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 12 | 41% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 53% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 67.5 | 54 | 36% / 50% | 112 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 11 | 35% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 45% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 53.5 | 40 | 34% / 50% | 86 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 11 | 31% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 58% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 41 | 31% / 51% | 28 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 10 | 33% / 51% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 50% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 46.5 | 44 | 47% / 50% | 53 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 47% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 11 | 37% / 49% | 32 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 49% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 44.5 | 33 | 36% / 50% | 75 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 11 | 41% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 45% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rush yds | 43.5 | 45 | 52% / 50% | 25 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 8.4 | 30% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 22% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 42.5 | 27 | 26% / 50% | 87 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 8.8 | 38% / 50% | 15 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 23% / 40% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 41.5 | 29 | 31% / 50% | 46 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 7.3 | 38% / 50% | 24 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 19% / 38% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 22 | 37% / 50% | 32 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 4.2 | 33% / 48% | 29 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 28% / 54% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rush yds | 34.5 | 24 | 34% / 49% | 30 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 3.1 | 30% / 49% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 29% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 34.5 | 20 | 24% / 50% | 26 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rush yds | 23.5 | 23 | 49% / 48% | 46 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 3.5 | 1.7 | 43% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 57% / 64% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rush yds | 16.5 | 19 | 56% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 0.9 | 44% / 51% | 8 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 54% / 59% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rush yds | 16.5 | 22 | 61% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 0.3 | 43% / 50% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 18 | 58% / 50% | 46 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 1.2 | 46% / 50% | 7 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 54% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rush yds | 20.5 | 25 | 59% / 49% | 15 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 33% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 0 | 34% / 50% | 15 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 47% / 63% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rush yds | 25.5 | 24 | 48% / 49% | 11 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 3.5 | 0 | 29% / 48% | -3 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 39% / 61% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rush yds | 28.5 | 22 | 40% / 50% | 23 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 0.1 | 36% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rush yds | 23.5 | 18 | 40% / 49% | 79 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 12 | 40% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rush yds | 13.5 | 17 | 58% / 52% | 9 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 23% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 1.5 | 0 | 35% / 46% | 25 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 40% / 48% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rush yds | 22.5 | 19 | 42% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rush yds | 17.5 | 19 | 53% / 49% | 26 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 18% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 32.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 32.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 45.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 54.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 13.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 47.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 47.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 58.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 13.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 56.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 56.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 15.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 59.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 59.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 59.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 18.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 18.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 75.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 75.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 75.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 19.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 83.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 83.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 19.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 93.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 93.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 13.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 13.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 50.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology