WR · CHI · 119 lines since 2023
Rome Odunze Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Rome Odunze, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 32% — we make it 24%
- Line 19.5 yds longest rec — we project 25 (P(over) 63%)
- Line 39.5 rec yds — we project 50 (P(over) 59%)
- Line 2.5 receptions — we project 4 (P(over) 68%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 15, under 18 (33 graded)
- Receptions over 16, under 17 (33 graded)
- Anytime TD over 7, under 26 (33 graded)
- Longest reception over 7, under 5 (12 graded)
Our calls on him: model 24–14 · Pre-snap motion 1–3 · Blitz-heavy defense 1–0 · Middle of the field 2–2 · Freezing 1–1 · Starters out on defense 0–1 · Wind 15+ mph 2–0 · Missed tackles 2–2 · Short week 2–0 · Play action 0–2
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 32% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 19.5 | 25 | 63% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 50 | 59% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 68% / 60% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 43 | 61% / 51% | 94 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 62% / 52% | 6 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 37 | 62% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 61% / 45% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 49 | 60% / 50% | 43 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 65% / 53% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 75 | 77% / 50% | 52 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 71% / 41% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 32% | – | void |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 18.5 | 21 | 57% / 50% | – | void |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 36 | 50% / 50% | – | void |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 35% / 40% | – | void |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 19.5 | 23 | 61% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 47 | 52% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 54% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 21.5 | 28 | 65% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 52.5 | 58 | 55% / 50% | 53 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 55% / 56% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 22.5 | 24 | 54% / 49% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 55.5 | 50 | 44% / 50% | 41 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 35% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 37% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 21.5 | 26 | 60% / 49% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 52.5 | 52 | 49% / 50% | 86 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 55% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 23.5 | 31 | 68% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 63.5 | 71 | 56% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 52% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 22.5 | 27 | 60% / 49% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 55.5 | 59 | 54% / 50% | 114 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 48% / 42% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 22.5 | 26 | 60% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 58.5 | 56 | 48% / 49% | 31 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 43% / 45% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 23.5 | 26 | 57% / 51% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 64.5 | 56 | 44% / 50% | 32 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 46% / 53% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 22.5 | 27 | 62% / 51% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 62.5 | 62 | 49% / 50% | 69 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 52% / 56% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 22.5 | 26 | 60% / 49% | 35 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 62.5 | 62 | 50% / 50% | 62 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 53% / 57% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 31% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 20.5 | 21 | 53% / 50% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 45 | 45% / 50% | 128 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 42% / 42% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 32% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 20.5 | 26 | 66% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 62 | 62% / 50% | 37 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 70% / 56% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 37 | 52% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 40% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 42 | 50% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 42 | 56% / 51% | 77 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 45% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 44 | 48% / 51% | 39 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 57% / 56% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 46 | 53% / 50% | 42 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 55% / 52% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 43 | 46% / 50% | 25 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 54% / 57% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 47 | 53% / 51% | 39 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 57% / 51% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 32 | 49% / 50% | 65 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 60% / 59% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 38 | 49% / 51% | 23 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 58% / 60% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 37 | 49% / 50% | 104 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 60% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 31 | 45% / 50% | 41 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 51% / 53% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 36 | 46% / 50% | 40 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 39% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 33 | 52% / 50% | 40 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 41 | 56% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 61% / 58% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 28% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 29 | 40% / 50% | 112 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 24% / 43% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 20 | 27% / 51% | 33 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 16% / 45% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 42.5 | – | – / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | – | – / 49% | 1 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 26.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 26.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 38.5 rec yds (Blitz-heavy defense, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 38.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 38.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 39.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) void
- 2025 W15 Under 36.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) void
- 2025 W15 Over 36.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) void
- 2025 W15 Under 36.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) void
- 2025 W13 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 45.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 52.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 55.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 55.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 63.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 63.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Over 55.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Over 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 58.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 64.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 62.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 49.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Under 35.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Under 41.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Under 36.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Over 36.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Over 45.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 45.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W12 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W11 Over 33.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W10 Over 38.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W10 Under 38.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Under 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W6 Over 40.5 rec yds (Play action, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W6 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W4 Over 36.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W4 Over 36.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W4 Over 36.5 rec yds (Play action, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W4 Under 36.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology