WR · NE · 169 lines since 2023
Romeo Doubs Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Romeo Doubs, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 37% — we make it 43%
- Line 22.5 yds longest rec — we project 27 (P(over) 65%)
- Line 49.5 rec yds — we project 67 (P(over) 65%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 5 (P(over) 71%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 24, under 26 (50 graded)
- Receptions over 21, under 28 (49 graded)
- Anytime TD over 14, under 36 (50 graded)
- Longest reception over 9, under 7 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: model 42–43 · Middle of the field 2–3 · Pre-snap motion 4–5 · Freezing 1–1 · Starters out on defense 2–5 · Short week 3–1 · Wind 15+ mph 2–2 · Play action 1–0 · Red-zone defense 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 37% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 22.5 | 27 | 65% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 67 | 65% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 71% / 55% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 26% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 38 | 48% / 50% | 58 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 41% / 42% | 6 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 37 | 44% / 50% | 49 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 37% / 43% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 25 | 33% / 50% | 96 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 25% / 44% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 52 | 67% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 66% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 15.5 | 20 | 64% / 48% | 40 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 39 | 70% / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 67% / 43% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 30% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 16.5 | 19 | 58% / 52% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 36 | 56% / 50% | 84 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 65% / 54% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 16.5 | 19 | 58% / 51% | 26 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 36 | 55% / 49% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 64% / 59% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 17.5 | 23 | 65% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 46 | 63% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 54% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 20.5 | 24 | 60% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 53 | 58% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 62% / 56% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 20.5 | 24 | 61% / 51% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 50.5 | 53 | 53% / 50% | 23 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 45% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 20.5 | 23 | 58% / 49% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 51 | 52% / 50% | 53 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 42% / 41% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 21.5 | 24 | 59% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 53.5 | 58 | 54% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 54% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 19.5 | 25 | 65% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 46.5 | 55 | 59% / 50% | 91 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 59% / 56% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 21.5 | 29 | 71% / 49% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 54.5 | 79 | 68% / 50% | 44 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 4.5 | 6 | 70% / 48% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 20.5 | 25 | 62% / 49% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 57 | 56% / 50% | 72 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 48% / 44% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 20.5 | 25 | 63% / 50% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 54 | 60% / 50% | 55 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 57% / 49% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 19.5 | 23 | 61% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 47 | 56% / 50% | 58 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 47% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 18.5 | 25 | 69% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 56 | 65% / 50% | 25 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 62% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 30% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 19.5 | 23 | 60% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 44 | 52% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 18.5 | 25 | 70% / 50% | 48 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 56 | 67% / 51% | 68 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 66% / 45% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 40 | 42% / 50% | 58 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 52% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 43 | 55% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 42% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 30% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 39 | 48% / 50% | 40 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 41% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 40 | 49% / 50% | 54 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 43.5 | 36 | 42% / 50% | 17 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 49% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 46 | 54% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 50% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 45 | 48% / 51% | 72 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 58% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 38 | 47% / 50% | 94 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 39% / 49% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 34% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 35 | 43% / 50% | 49 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 36% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 36 | 40% / 50% | 39 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 39% / 54% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 29 | 53% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 47% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 32 | 56% / 49% | 62 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 61% / 52% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 37 | 46% / 51% | 50 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 41% / 47% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 51 | 63% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 61% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 43.5 | 47 | 55% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 63% / 54% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 34% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 47 | 59% / 50% | 79 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 61% / 48% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 53 | 57% / 50% | 30 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 65% / 54% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 51 | 57% / 49% | 32 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 66% / 54% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 40 | 55% / 50% | 72 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 56% / 41% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 40 | 49% / 51% | 37 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 54% / 52% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 28% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 39 | 55% / 51% | 53 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 69% / 60% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 34 | 50% / 49% | 31 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 41% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 39 | 49% / 50% | 36 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 48% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 28% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 42 | 53% / 49% | 18 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 50% / 49% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 31% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 42 | 52% / 50% | 30 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 55% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 56 | 59% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 70% / 60% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 48 | 55% / 49% | 95 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 60% / 46% | 9 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 31% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 37 | 56% / 50% | 73 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 72% / 57% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 30 | 38% / 51% | 30 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 29% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 40.5 | – | – / 50% | 26 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W3 Under 42.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 39.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 35.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W17 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 32.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 32.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 34.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 34.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 45.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 45.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 50.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 48.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 48.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 46.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 46.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Over 54.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 54.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 49.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 49.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 44.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Over 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 40.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 42.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology