RB · IND · 7 lines since 2023
Seth McGowan Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Seth McGowan, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 9% — we make it 18%
- Line 3.5 rush attempts — we project 3 (P(over) 47%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 4 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: model 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 9% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 3.5 | 3 | 47% / 41% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 5.9 | 41% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 11% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 8.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology