WR · ARI · 30 lines since 2023
Simi Fehoko Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Simi Fehoko, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 7% — we make it 4%
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 18 (19 graded)
Our calls on him: model 2–3
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 7% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | – | void |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 3% | – | void |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 6% | – | void |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 20 | 39% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 28% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 9.2 | 25% / 49% | 45 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 14% / 46% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | – | – / 7% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | – | – / 15% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2025 W5 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2025 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2025 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2024 W8 Under 29.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W7 Under 26.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology