WR · GB · 79 lines since 2023
Skyy Moore Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Skyy Moore, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 18% — we make it 15%
- Line 9.5 yds longest rec — we project 8.2 (P(over) 46%)
- Line 12.5 rec yds — we project 9.7 (P(over) 45%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 39%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 5, under 12 (17 graded)
- Receptions over 4, under 12 (16 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 37 (38 graded)
- Longest reception over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
Our calls on him: Starters out on defense 0–1 · model 11–16 · Short week 2–1 · Freezing 2–0 · Explosive plays 0–1 · Pre-snap motion 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 18% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.2 | 46% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 9.7 | 45% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 39% / 45% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 9.4 | 36% / 50% | -2 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 37% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 6.0 | 41% / 51% | 31 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 26% / 43% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 8% | – | void |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 7.5 | 0 | 26% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 0 | 25% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 0 | 11% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 14 | 60% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 21 | 60% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 58% / 54% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 19 | 56% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 56% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 25 | 61% / 50% | 34 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 25 | 63% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 62% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 23 | 57% / 49% | 33 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 59% / 59% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 22 | 55% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 59% / 62% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 24 | 52% / 49% | 15 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 34% / 41% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 23 | 51% / 49% | 22 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 32% / 42% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 31 | 52% / 49% | 11 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 39% / 55% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 34 | 53% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 32% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 35 | 52% / 50% | 42 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 26% / 40% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 22 | 42% / 49% | 70 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 31% / 49% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 48.5 | – | – / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | – | – / 56% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 17.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 10.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 8.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W15 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W15 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W14 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W14 Over 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W13 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W13 Under 15.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W13 Over 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W12 Over 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W11 Over 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W11 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W9 Over 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W8 Under 18.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W8 Over 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W7 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W6 Over 22.5 rec yds (Explosive plays, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W6 Over 22.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W6 Under 22.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W6 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W5 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W4 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W2 Under 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology