WR · MIN · 25 lines since 2023
Tai Felton Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Tai Felton, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 13% — we make it 5%
- Line 10.5 rec yds — we project 0 (P(over) 31%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 0 (P(over) 17%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Receptions over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 8 (8 graded)
Our calls on him: model 2–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 13% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 0 | 31% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 0 | 17% / 43% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 0 | 22% / 51% | 14 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 0 | 14% / 53% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 9% | – | void |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | – | – / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 8% | – | void |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 10% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology