Edgehalla

TE · CIN · 93 lines since 2023

Tanner Hudson Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Tanner Hudson, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 8% — we make it 9%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 11, under 7 (18 graded)
  • Receptions over 10, under 6 (16 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 4, under 35 (39 graded)
  • Longest reception over 4, under 3 (7 graded)

Our calls on him: Starters out on defense 2–3 · Pre-snap motion 1–0 · model 19–8 · Freezing 0–1 · Middle of the field 1–0 · Short week 0–2

Line vs actual vs our projection

Tanner Hudson prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%–…
2026 W4Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2026 W3Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%0under
2026 W2Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 7%–void
2026 W1Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 10%0under
2025 W18Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 14%0under
2025 W18Long rec6.56.550% / 49%0under
2025 W18Rec yds6.57.453% / 51%0under
2025 W18Rec0.5169% / 65%0under
2025 W17Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 14%0under
2025 W17Long rec4.58.060% / 49%18over
2025 W17Rec yds4.59.361% / 49%31over
2025 W17Rec0.5172% / 56%2over
2025 W16Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 13%0under
2025 W16Long rec6.59.559% / 51%4under
2025 W16Rec yds7.51259% / 50%4under
2025 W16Rec0.5177% / 66%1over
2025 W15Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 13%0under
2025 W15Long rec5.56.754% / 48%8over
2025 W15Rec yds5.58.056% / 49%16over
2025 W15Rec0.5171% / 62%3over
2025 W14Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 11%0under
2025 W13Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 12%1over
2025 W12Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 13%0under
2025 W11Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 15%0under
2025 W11Long rec9.57.242% / 49%9under
2025 W9Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 14%0under
2025 W9Long rec9.56.340% / 48%33over
2025 W9Rec yds7.57.350% / 50%42over
2025 W9Rec1.5136% / 51%2over
2025 W8Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 15%0under
2025 W8Long rec8.55.941% / 50%9over
2025 W8Rec yds10.56.841% / 49%9under
2025 W8Rec1.5135% / 49%1under
2025 W6Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 3%1over
2025 W5Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%0under
2025 W4Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 7%0under
2025 W3Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 3%–void
2025 W2Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 5%–void
2025 W1Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%–void
2024 W18Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 9%0under
2024 W17Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%–void
2024 W16Any TD––– / 8%–void
2024 W16Rec yds8.5–– / 47%–void
2024 W15Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 11%0under
2024 W15Rec yds11.51253% / 50%9under
2024 W14Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 11%0under
2024 W14Rec yds10.51354% / 51%19over
2024 W14Rec1.5251% / 46%1under
2024 W13Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 10%0under
2024 W11Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 13%0under
2024 W11Rec yds11.51557% / 50%13over
2024 W11Rec1.5256% / 47%2over
2024 W10Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 10%1over
2024 W10Rec yds13.51144% / 50%42over
2024 W10Rec1.5144% / 46%6over
2024 W9Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 6%0under
2024 W8Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 6%0under
2024 W7Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 6%0under
2024 W6Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 6%0under
2024 W5Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 11%–void
2024 W4Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 8%–void
2024 W3Any TD––– / 9%–void
2024 W2Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 7%–void
2024 W1Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 11%0under
2023 W18Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 19%0under
2023 W18Rec yds27.52749% / 50%11under
2023 W18Rec2.5359% / 60%2under
2023 W17Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 14%0under
2023 W17Rec yds19.52153% / 50%38over
2023 W16Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 17%0under
2023 W16Rec yds29.52543% / 50%5under
2023 W16Rec2.5360% / 63%1under
2023 W15Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 16%0under
2023 W15Rec yds19.52154% / 50%49over
2023 W15Rec2.5352% / 46%5over
2023 W14Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 18%1over
2023 W14Rec yds23.52349% / 51%21under
2023 W14Rec2.5352% / 54%2under
2023 W13Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 14%0under
2023 W13Rec yds17.52056% / 50%35over
2023 W13Rec2.5360% / 41%4over
2023 W12Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 13%0under
2023 W11Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 17%0under
2023 W11Rec yds20.52355% / 51%49over
2023 W11Rec2.5355% / 49%4over
2023 W10Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 14%0under
2023 W10Rec yds16.51956% / 51%33over
2023 W10Rec1.5264% / 59%6over
2023 W9Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 11%0under
2023 W5Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 10%–void
2023 W4Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 10%0under
2023 W3Any TD––– / 5%0under

Our calls

  • 2025 W18 Over 6.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W18 Under 6.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 4.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 4.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 4.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W16 Over 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Over 7.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Over 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W15 Over 5.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W15 Under 5.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W15 Over 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W15 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W11 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W9 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W9 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W8 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W8 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W8 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W15 Under 11.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W14 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W11 Over 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W11 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W10 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W10 Under 13.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W6 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W16 Over 29.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W16 Under 29.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W15 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W13 Over 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W13 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W11 Under 20.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W11 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W10 Over 16.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W10 Over 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W10 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology