RB · PIT · 33 lines since 2023
Travis Homer Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Travis Homer, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 8% — we make it 9%
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 0, under 2 (2 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 14 (14 graded)
- Rush attempts over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
Our calls on him: Missed tackles 0–2 · model 1–3 · Short week 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 8% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 4.4 | 42% / 51% | -1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 2% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 3.5 | 4 | 59% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 12.5 | 18 | 62% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 5% | – | void |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 5% | – | void |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 6% | – | void |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 6% | – | void |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 3% | – | void |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 3% | – | void |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | – | void |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | – | void |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | – | void |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | – | – / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 7% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 6.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 6.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 6.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W9 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 3.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 12.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 12.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology