WR · LAC · 65 lines since 2023
Tre Harris Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Tre Harris, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 29% — we make it 29%
- Line 20.5 yds longest rec — we project 22 (P(over) 54%)
- Line 49.5 rec yds — we project 47 (P(over) 47%)
- Line 4.5 receptions — we project 4 (P(over) 45%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 10, under 5 (15 graded)
- Receptions over 9, under 6 (15 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 19 (20 graded)
- Longest reception over 6, under 5 (11 graded)
Our calls on him: Dome team outdoors 1–6 · model 13–19 · Pre-snap motion 2–0 · Starters out on defense 2–0 · Short week 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 29% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 20.5 | 22 | 54% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 47 | 47% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 45% / 44% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 26 | 37% / 51% | 60 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 34% / 43% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 25 | 42% / 50% | 76 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 42% / 54% | 6 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 22 | 38% / 50% | 53 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 58% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 20 | 40% / 49% | 20 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 33% / 47% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 12.5 | 10 | 41% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 13 | 38% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 26% / 38% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 13.5 | 12 | 46% / 51% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 16 | 42% / 49% | 54 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 57% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 11.5 | 6.8 | 34% / 51% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 8.2 | 24% / 50% | 49 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 16% / 48% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 8.5 | 7.8 | 47% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 9.7 | 48% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 10.5 | 6.6 | 38% / 49% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 7.3 | 43% / 56% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 33% / 46% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.3 | 46% / 51% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 10 | 47% / 50% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.1 | 44% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 8.3 | 43% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 37% / 44% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 8.5 | 6.1 | 44% / 51% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 6.7 | 43% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 30% / 42% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 8% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 6.5 | 4.6 | 45% / 55% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 5.0 | 42% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 28% / 30% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 14.5 | 0 | 22% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 0 | 16% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 0 | 4% / 42% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 5.5 | 4.7 | 48% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 5.0 | 42% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 59% / 63% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 11% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 35.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 35.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 31.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 31.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 30.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 19.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 20.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 20.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 11.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 20.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 11.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 11.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 10.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 8.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 14.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 23.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 8.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology