WR · LV · 165 lines since 2023
Tre Tucker Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Tre Tucker, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 27% — we make it 32%
- Line 19.5 yds longest rec — we project 24 (P(over) 65%)
- Line 40.5 rec yds — we project 55 (P(over) 65%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 5 (P(over) 69%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 1, under 2 (3 graded)
- Receiving yards over 20, under 25 (45 graded)
- Receptions over 20, under 21 (41 graded)
- Anytime TD over 9, under 45 (54 graded)
- Longest reception over 9, under 8 (17 graded)
Our calls on him: model 22–35 · Missed tackles 1–1 · Pre-snap motion 5–2 · Freezing 1–0 · Dome team outdoors 8–5 · Wind 15+ mph 1–1 · Starters out on defense 3–1 · Short week 1–0 · Explosive plays 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 27% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 19.5 | 24 | 65% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 55 | 65% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 69% / 46% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 38 | 49% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 47% / 43% | 4 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 45 | 55% / 50% | 43 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 56% / 45% | 4 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 31 | 43% / 50% | 119 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 39% / 45% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 48 | 52% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 43% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 16.5 | 17 | 50% / 49% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 33 | 48% / 50% | 30 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 21.5 | 18 | 39% / 49% | 26 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 46.5 | 34 | 36% / 50% | 49 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 46% / 54% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 15.5 | 14 | 44% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 26 | 45% / 50% | 43 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 62% / 53% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 15.5 | 15 | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 30 | 48% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 70% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 18.5 | 19 | 52% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 45 | 58% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 67% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 19.5 | 17 | 42% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 38 | 49% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 57% / 51% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 18.5 | 17 | 47% / 50% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 34 | 46% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 66% / 61% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 31% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 20.5 | 20 | 49% / 50% | 26 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 42 | 48% / 51% | 47 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 55% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 35% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 20.5 | 18 | 43% / 51% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 41 | 45% / 51% | 28 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 47% / 44% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 19.5 | 20 | 52% / 50% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 43 | 52% / 50% | 38 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 57% / 48% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 21.5 | 18 | 38% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 55.5 | 38 | 32% / 50% | 33 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 28% / 41% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 19.5 | 20 | 52% / 50% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 37 | 44% / 51% | 70 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 48% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 20.5 | 19 | 46% / 50% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 52.5 | 36 | 33% / 49% | 62 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 29% / 45% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 20.5 | 22 | 53% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 41 | 46% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 44% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 21% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 15.5 | 17 | 56% / 50% | 61 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 28 | 51% / 50% | 145 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 49% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 17.5 | 18 | 52% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 30 | 49% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 49% / 52% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 15% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 15.5 | 21 | 66% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 41 | 69% / 50% | 54 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 68% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 30 | 56% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 54% / 44% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 26 | 50% / 51% | 24 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 50% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 29 | 49% / 49% | 41 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 51% / 44% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 30 | 57% / 51% | 18 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 47% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 39 | 62% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 66% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 21% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 27 | 45% / 49% | 58 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 60% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 2.5 | 0 | 28% / 47% | 11 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 24 | 50% / 51% | 82 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 49% / 49% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 3.5 | 0 | 36% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 25 | 46% / 51% | 28 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 48% / 51% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 28 | 48% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 53% / 53% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 33 | 52% / 50% | 26 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 66% / 58% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 35 | 46% / 50% | 36 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 50% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 36 | 48% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 54% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 32 | 39% / 51% | 18 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 53% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 22% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 32 | 41% / 50% | 41 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 20% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 11 | 40% / 51% | 96 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 52% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 9.8 | 34% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 52% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 16 | 53% / 53% | 22 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 47% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 14 | 40% / 50% | 79 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 59% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 11 | 50% / 49% | 36 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 39% / 40% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 10 | 48% / 50% | -4 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 6% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 6.8 | 46% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 4.8 | 35% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 2.2 | 27% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 21% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 0 | 35% / 49% | 16 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 48% / 61% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 9% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2026 W3 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 36.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 34.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 46.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 28.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 31.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 31.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 31.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 38.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 38.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 36.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 44.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 0.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 45.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 45.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 45.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 45.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 45.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 55.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 55.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 42.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Over 52.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 52.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 45.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 27.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Over 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Under 24.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 24.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Over 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Over 29.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Over 24.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 28.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W14 Over 28.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 29.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 2.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology