RB · NE · 120 lines since 2023
TreVeyon Henderson Player Props
Closing consensus lines for TreVeyon Henderson, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 39% — we make it 41%
- Line 7.5 rec yds — we project 7.5 (P(over) 50%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 41%)
- Line 11.5 rush attempts — we project 11 (P(over) 47%)
- Line 58.5 rush + rec yds — we project 63 (P(over) 54%)
- Line 46.5 rush yds — we project 51 (P(over) 56%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 10, under 10 (20 graded)
- Receiving yards over 7, under 13 (20 graded)
- Receptions over 6, under 14 (20 graded)
- Anytime TD over 6, under 14 (20 graded)
- Rush attempts over 9, under 8 (17 graded)
- Longest reception over 5, under 12 (17 graded)
Our calls on him: model 46–26 · Missed tackles 5–4 · Pre-snap motion 3–4 · Big favourite (6.5+) 5–2 · Starters out on defense 3–3 · Red-zone defense 0–1 · Short week 1–0 · Big underdog (6.5+) 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 39% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 7.5 | 50% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 42% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 11.5 | 11 | 47% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 58.5 | 63 | 54% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 46.5 | 51 | 56% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 4.8 | 45% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 41.5 | 35 | 40% / 49% | 42 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 4.9 | 36% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 37% / 52% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 42.5 | 38 | 44% / 51% | 23 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 29% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 5.9 | 40% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 38 | 53% / 50% | 76 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 8.5 | 8.4 | 49% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 11 | 47% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 52% / 63% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rush att | 12.5 | 10 | 30% / 52% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rush yds | 58.5 | 57 | 49% / 50% | 53 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 8.5 | 9.8 | 55% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 15 | 53% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 11.5 | 10 | 34% / 52% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 56 | 59% / 50% | 82 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 8.5 | 8.3 | 49% / 51% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 12 | 47% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 41% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 11.5 | 9 | 27% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 50.5 | 45 | 44% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 49% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.1 | 43% / 51% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 12 | 41% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 10.5 | 9 | 34% / 44% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 45.5 | 41 | 44% / 50% | 148 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 10.5 | 8.2 | 40% / 49% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 12 | 41% / 50% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 34% / 48% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 13.5 | 8 | 11% / 53% | 11 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 40 | 24% / 51% | 67 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 10.5 | 11 | 51% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 17 | 55% / 51% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 46% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 11.5 | 13 | 61% / 57% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 73 | 66% / 50% | 66 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.5 | 45% / 51% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 14 | 41% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 40% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush att | 15.5 | 13 | 32% / 51% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 72.5 | 75 | 52% / 50% | 62 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 41% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 11.5 | 8.4 | 36% / 51% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 13 | 25% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 22% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 11.5 | 8 | 23% / 53% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 43.5 | 34 | 37% / 49% | 147 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 46% TD chance | 46% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.1 | 43% / 51% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 11 | 39% / 50% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 32% / 50% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 12.5 | 12 | 44% / 53% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 51.5 | 54 | 54% / 47% | 55 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 7.5 | 6.1 | 44% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 7.5 | 44% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 5.5 | 5 | 47% / 53% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 18.5 | 19 | 51% / 50% | 75 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 10.5 | 8.0 | 38% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 12 | 45% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 9.5 | 7 | 26% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 26 | 32% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 10.5 | 8.6 | 41% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 13 | 40% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 42% / 54% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 9.5 | 7 | 30% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 29 | 39% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 10.5 | 7.1 | 32% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 10 | 34% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 6.5 | 5 | 35% / 46% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 24.5 | 18 | 38% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 39% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.8 | 42% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 11 | 37% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 52% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 9.5 | 6 | 14% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 20 | 19% / 50% | 32 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 10.5 | 7.8 | 37% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 12 | 34% / 49% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 48% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 5.5 | 4 | 29% / 47% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 22.5 | 15 | 35% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 10.5 | 7.5 | 35% / 49% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 12 | 31% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 24% / 42% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 8.5 | 5 | 9% / 53% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 37.5 | 18 | 16% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 11.5 | – | – / 50% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 20.5 | – | – / 49% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | – | – / 55% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rush att | 9.5 | – | – / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 40.5 | – | – / 50% | 27 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 41.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 41.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 42.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 42.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 35.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 35.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 12.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 12.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 58.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 58.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 11.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 11.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 48.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 48.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 48.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 48.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 11.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 50.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 50.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 10.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 45.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 13.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 13.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 64.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 64.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 64.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 64.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 11.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 55.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 55.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 55.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 15.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 72.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 72.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 11.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 24.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 11.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 43.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 43.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology