RB · DAL · 47 lines since 2023
Tyler Goodson Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Tyler Goodson, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 14% — we make it 14%
- Line 15.5 rush yds — we project 11 (P(over) 38%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 3, under 1 (4 graded)
- Receiving yards over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
- Receptions over 2, under 1 (3 graded)
- Anytime TD over 2, under 29 (31 graded)
Our calls on him: Short week 0–0 · model 3–13 · Dome team outdoors 0–2
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 14% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 11 | 38% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 7% | – | void |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 7% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 7.7 | 45% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rush yds | 34.5 | 32 | 47% / 50% | 51 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 3.6 | 20% / 50% | 14 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 11% / 41% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rush yds | 21.5 | 22 | 51% / 51% | 51 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 1.7 | 19% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 21% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 25.5 | 19 | 37% / 50% | 26 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 6.4 | 56% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 12 | 57% / 44% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | – | – / 4% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Under 16.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2024 W10 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W7 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W6 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W6 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W6 Under 21.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Under 25.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Under 25.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W17 Over 4.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W17 Over 8.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology