QB · BAL · 45 lines since 2023
Tyler Huntley Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Tyler Huntley, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 19% — we make it 5%
- Line 27.5 pass attempts — we project 30 (P(over) 63%)
- Line 17.5 completions — we project 19 (P(over) 64%)
- Line 1.5 pass TDs — we project 1 (P(over) 32%)
- Line 173.5 pass yds — we project 192 (P(over) 60%)
- Line 5.5 rush attempts — we project 2 (P(over) 2%)
- Line 29.5 rush yds — we project 5.7 (P(over) 7%)
Over/under record by market
- Passing yards over 4, under 4 (8 graded)
- Passing TDs over 5, under 3 (8 graded)
- Rushing yards over 5, under 3 (8 graded)
- Anytime TD over 2, under 6 (8 graded)
- Pass attempts over 0, under 2 (2 graded)
- Completions over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
- Rush attempts over 2, under 0 (2 graded)
Our calls on him: Low total (40.5 or less) 4–3 · model 6–7 · Starters out on defense 1–1 · Pressure 0–1 · Wind 15+ mph 1–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 19% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass att | 27.5 | 30 | 63% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Cmp | 17.5 | 19 | 64% / 53% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 32% / 33% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass yds | 173.5 | 192 | 60% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 5.5 | 2 | 2% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 5.7 | 7% / 50% | – | … |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Pass att | 25.5 | 26 | 55% / 49% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Cmp | 16.5 | 17 | 57% / 48% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1 | 59% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Pass yds | 159.5 | 158 | 49% / 51% | 107 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 5.5 | 2 | 2% / 57% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 24.5 | 5.5 | 9% / 50% | 60 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | – | – / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Pass att | 25.5 | – | – / 51% | 22 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Cmp | 16.5 | – | – / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | – | – / 34% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Pass yds | 170.5 | – | – / 50% | 186 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 6.5 | – | – / 52% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 33.5 | – | – / 50% | 53 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1 | 68% / 66% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Pass yds | 183.5 | 197 | 57% / 50% | 227 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rush yds | 28.5 | 12 | 17% / 51% | 16 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | – | – / 22% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | – | – / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Pass yds | 161.5 | – | – / 46% | 225 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 25.5 | – | – / 50% | 52 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1 | 67% / 64% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Pass yds | 183.5 | 198 | 58% / 51% | 87 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rush yds | 27.5 | 16 | 25% / 49% | 20 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1 | 64% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Pass yds | 162.5 | 192 | 66% / 50% | 194 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 34.5 | 13 | 11% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | – | – / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | – | – / 63% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Pass yds | 169.5 | – | – / 50% | 96 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 33.5 | – | – / 49% | 40 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1 | 61% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Pass yds | 160.5 | 181 | 61% / 50% | 146 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rush yds | 33.5 | 0 | 0% / 50% | 40 | over |
Our calls
- 2025 W17 Under 25.5 pass attempts (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 25.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 16.5 completions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 159.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 5.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 24.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 170.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Under 183.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Over 183.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Under 28.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Under 161.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Under 161.5 pass yds (Pressure, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Under 161.5 pass yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Over 183.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Over 183.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Under 27.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W5 Under 162.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Over 162.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W5 Under 34.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W4 Under 169.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ✅
- 2023 W18 Over 0.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W18 Under 160.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ✅
- 2023 W18 Over 160.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W18 Under 160.5 pass yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W18 Under 33.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology