Edgehalla

WR · TEN · 203 lines since 2023

Wan'Dale Robinson Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Wan'Dale Robinson, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 19% — we make it 17%
  • Line 14.5 yds longest rec — we project 15 (P(over) 53%)
  • Line 32.5 rec yds — we project 32 (P(over) 49%)
  • Line 3.5 receptions — we project 4 (P(over) 57%)

Over/under record by market

  • Rushing yards over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
  • Receiving yards over 31, under 34 (65 graded)
  • Receptions over 33, under 18 (51 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 13, under 53 (66 graded)
  • Longest reception over 9, under 7 (16 graded)

Our calls on him: model 34–34 · Pre-snap motion 4–3 · Missed tackles 6–1 · Wind 15+ mph 2–1 · Freezing 2–1 · Starters out on defense 3–3 · Short week 1–2 · Middle of the field 0–2

Line vs actual vs our projection

Wan'Dale Robinson prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 19%–…
2026 W5Long rec14.51553% / 50%–…
2026 W5Rec yds32.53249% / 50%–…
2026 W5Rec3.5457% / 55%–…
2026 W4Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 18%1over
2026 W4Rec yds37.53242% / 50%19under
2026 W4Rec3.5456% / 58%3under
2026 W3Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 19%1over
2026 W3Rec yds30.52745% / 50%57over
2026 W3Rec3.5343% / 49%7over
2026 W2Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 20%0under
2026 W2Rec yds37.53242% / 50%9under
2026 W2Rec4.5438% / 45%1under
2026 W1Any TD–30% TD chance30% / 22%0under
2026 W1Rec yds41.55664% / 50%38under
2026 W1Rec4.5561% / 48%5over
2025 W17Any TD–34% TD chance34% / 32%0under
2025 W17Long rec20.52357% / 50%36over
2025 W17Rec yds58.55849% / 49%113over
2025 W17Rec5.5548% / 50%11over
2025 W16Any TD–30% TD chance30% / 29%0under
2025 W16Long rec18.52055% / 51%14under
2025 W16Rec yds50.54948% / 50%19under
2025 W16Rec5.5542% / 47%3under
2025 W15Any TD–28% TD chance28% / 31%1over
2025 W15Long rec20.52462% / 51%17under
2025 W15Rec yds57.56154% / 50%54under
2025 W15Rec5.5547% / 47%5under
2025 W13Any TD–23% TD chance23% / 30%0under
2025 W13Long rec21.52150% / 48%8under
2025 W13Rec yds57.55244% / 50%34under
2025 W13Rec5.5543% / 49%7over
2025 W12Any TD–22% TD chance22% / 29%1over
2025 W12Long rec19.51950% / 50%40over
2025 W12Rec yds53.54946% / 51%156over
2025 W12Rec5.5547% / 48%9over
2025 W11Any TD–24% TD chance24% / 32%0under
2025 W11Long rec19.52155% / 52%20over
2025 W11Rec yds57.56255% / 50%36under
2025 W11Rec5.5763% / 54%4under
2025 W10Any TD–27% TD chance27% / 30%0under
2025 W10Long rec19.52156% / 50%15under
2025 W10Rec yds50.55353% / 50%62over
2025 W10Rec5.5548% / 45%6over
2025 W9Any TD–32% TD chance32% / 33%0under
2025 W9Long rec20.52360% / 50%9under
2025 W9Rec yds52.56057% / 50%46under
2025 W9Rec5.5548% / 44%9over
2025 W8Any TD–26% TD chance26% / 22%0under
2025 W8Long rec19.52052% / 49%34over
2025 W8Rec yds50.54949% / 49%48under
2025 W8Rec5.5545% / 42%3under
2025 W7Any TD–24% TD chance24% / 22%0under
2025 W7Long rec17.51748% / 50%23over
2025 W7Rec yds43.53945% / 50%95over
2025 W7Rec5.5537% / 42%6over
2025 W6Any TD–25% TD chance25% / 22%1over
2025 W6Long rec16.51958% / 50%35over
2025 W6Rec yds43.54653% / 50%84over
2025 W6Rec5.5546% / 42%6over
2025 W5Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 28%0under
2025 W5Long rec18.51746% / 48%12under
2025 W5Rec yds45.53538% / 50%30under
2025 W5Rec4.5435% / 59%5over
2025 W4Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 20%0under
2025 W4Long rec16.51958% / 49%8under
2025 W4Rec yds39.54254% / 50%14under
2025 W4Rec4.5449% / 50%3under
2025 W3Any TD–22% TD chance22% / 26%0under
2025 W3Long rec19.52051% / 49%26over
2025 W3Rec yds45.54651% / 50%26under
2025 W3Rec4.5555% / 57%1under
2025 W2Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 21%1over
2025 W2Long rec18.51641% / 48%50over
2025 W2Rec yds40.53340% / 50%142over
2025 W2Rec3.5454% / 57%8over
2025 W1Any TD–31% TD chance31% / 20%0under
2025 W1Long rec16.51961% / 49%20over
2025 W1Rec yds31.54870% / 48%55over
2025 W1Rec3.5574% / 51%6over
2024 W18Any TD–21% TD chance21% / 21%0under
2024 W18Rec yds36.53446% / 50%43over
2024 W18Rec3.5458% / 60%10over
2024 W17Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 17%1over
2024 W17Rec yds35.53752% / 49%71over
2024 W17Rec4.5552% / 51%5over
2024 W16Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 20%0under
2024 W16Rec yds36.52939% / 49%62over
2024 W16Rec4.5438% / 51%7over
2024 W15Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 20%0under
2024 W15Rec yds30.52643% / 51%38over
2024 W15Rec3.5456% / 56%4over
2024 W14Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 23%0under
2024 W14Rec yds31.53149% / 51%38over
2024 W14Rec4.5440% / 45%4under
2024 W13Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 20%0under
2024 W13Rec yds33.52740% / 51%6under
2024 W13Rec4.5334% / 43%2under
2024 W12Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 20%0under
2024 W12Rec yds34.53754% / 50%47over
2024 W12Rec4.5552% / 46%5over
2024 W10Any TD–31% TD chance31% / 27%0under
2024 W10Rec yds36.54054% / 50%51over
2024 W10Rec4.5446% / 58%5over
2024 W10Rush yds0.5020% / 27%0under
2024 W9Any TD–25% TD chance25% / 24%0under
2024 W9Rec yds35.53346% / 50%10under
2024 W9Rec5.5426% / 42%3under
2024 W8Any TD–19% TD chance19% / 18%0under
2024 W8Rec yds39.52935% / 51%30under
2024 W8Rec4.5441% / 60%5over
2024 W7Any TD–30% TD chance30% / 25%0under
2024 W7Rec yds41.54655% / 50%23under
2024 W7Rec5.5543% / 43%6over
2024 W6Any TD–35% TD chance35% / 34%0under
2024 W6Rec yds51.55453% / 51%50under
2024 W6Rec5.5655% / 55%5under
2024 W5Any TD–31% TD chance31% / 29%1over
2024 W5Rec yds49.55456% / 50%36under
2024 W5Rec6.5649% / 44%6under
2024 W4Any TD–22% TD chance22% / 21%0under
2024 W4Rec yds35.53143% / 51%71over
2024 W4Rec4.5332% / 44%11over
2024 W3Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 17%0under
2024 W3Rec yds28.52544% / 50%61over
2024 W3Rec3.5341% / 46%7over
2024 W2Any TD–19% TD chance19% / 28%1over
2024 W2Rec yds39.53140% / 50%18under
2024 W2Rec4.5331% / 43%2under
2024 W1Any TD–22% TD chance22% / 20%0under
2024 W1Rec yds28.54065% / 50%44over
2024 W1Rec3.5459% / 49%6over
2023 W18Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 25%0under
2023 W18Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 21%0under
2023 W18Rec yds32.53453% / 50%85over
2023 W18Rec yds30.53456% / 50%85over
2023 W18Rec3.5455% / 59%5over
2023 W17Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 26%1over
2023 W17Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 21%1over
2023 W17Rec yds30.52745% / 51%55over
2023 W17Rec yds32.52741% / 51%55over
2023 W17Rec3.5348% / 55%6over
2023 W16Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 15%0under
2023 W16Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 20%0under
2023 W16Rec yds30.52540% / 50%16under
2023 W16Rec yds32.52537% / 51%16under
2023 W16Rec4.5437% / 42%3under
2023 W15Any TD–19% TD chance19% / 21%0under
2023 W15Any TD–19% TD chance19% / 20%0under
2023 W15Rec yds35.53244% / 47%25under
2023 W15Rec yds33.53247% / 50%25under
2023 W15Rec3.5459% / 50%4over
2023 W14Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 15%0under
2023 W14Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 15%0under
2023 W14Rec yds30.52643% / 48%79over
2023 W14Rec yds27.52648% / 50%79over
2023 W14Rec3.5349% / 42%6over
2023 W12Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 17%0under
2023 W12Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 21%0under
2023 W12Rec yds29.53254% / 50%26under
2023 W12Rec yds30.53252% / 49%26under
2023 W12Rec3.5461% / 43%4over
2023 W11Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 17%0under
2023 W11Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 13%0under
2023 W11Rec yds20.52457% / 53%35over
2023 W11Rec yds21.52455% / 50%35over
2023 W11Rec2.5363% / 51%3over
2023 W10Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 15%0under
2023 W10Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 13%0under
2023 W10Rec yds32.52026% / 51%6under
2023 W10Rec yds35.52022% / 48%6under
2023 W10Rec3.5346% / 51%2under
2023 W9Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 24%1over
2023 W9Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 21%1over
2023 W9Rec yds35.53143% / 50%35under
2023 W9Rec yds34.53145% / 50%35over
2023 W9Rec3.5454% / 58%4over
2023 W8Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 17%0under
2023 W8Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 17%0under
2023 W8Rec yds30.52947% / 50%0under
2023 W8Rec yds30.52947% / 50%0under
2023 W8Rec3.5457% / 51%0under
2023 W7Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 17%0under
2023 W7Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 19%0under
2023 W7Rec yds35.53143% / 50%22under
2023 W7Rec yds38.53139% / 50%22under
2023 W7Rec4.5448% / 49%1under
2023 W6Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 11%0under
2023 W6Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 16%0under
2023 W6Rec yds25.52752% / 51%62over
2023 W6Rec yds26.52750% / 51%62over
2023 W6Rec3.5456% / 51%8over
2023 W5Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 26%0under
2023 W5Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 15%0under
2023 W5Rec yds39.52328% / 50%18under
2023 W5Rec yds40.52327% / 50%18under
2023 W5Rec4.5323% / 48%5over
2023 W4Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 18%0under
2023 W4Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 14%0under
2023 W4Rec yds20.52252% / 50%40over
2023 W4Rec yds18.52255% / 51%40over
2023 W4Rec1.5266% / 63%5over
2023 W3Any TD––– / 11%0under

Our calls

  • 2026 W4 Under 37.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W2 Under 37.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W2 Under 37.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W2 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W1 Over 41.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W1 Over 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 58.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W16 Under 50.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W16 Under 50.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W16 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W15 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W15 Under 57.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W15 Over 57.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W15 Over 57.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W13 Under 57.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W13 Under 57.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W13 Under 57.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W13 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W12 Under 53.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W12 Under 53.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W11 Under 57.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W11 Under 57.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W11 Over 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W10 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W10 Over 50.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W9 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W9 Over 52.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W7 Under 43.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W7 Under 43.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W7 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W6 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W6 Under 43.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W5 Under 45.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W5 Over 45.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W5 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W4 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W2 Under 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W2 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W1 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W1 Over 31.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W18 Under 36.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W18 Over 36.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W18 Under 36.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W18 Under 36.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W17 Over 35.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W16 Under 36.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W16 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W15 Under 30.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W13 Over 33.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W13 Under 33.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W13 Under 33.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W13 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W12 Over 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W10 Over 36.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W10 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology