13.9 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.5 · ceiling 25
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 21.0 (dog by 3.5)
- Matchup
- Tough · 8th
- Target share
- 23%▼20
Projects 13.9 vs 12.7 PPR points.
Low2026 season · Week 5 · TE
Start Bowers over Hockenson in PPR. Projects 13.9 vs 12.7 PPR points.
13.9 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.5 · ceiling 25
Projects 13.9 vs 12.7 PPR points.
Low12.7 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 11.0 · ceiling 24
Projects 12.7 vs 13.9 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartBrock Bowers stats and usageT.J. Hockenson stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Bowers over Hockenson in PPR. Projects 13.9 vs 12.7 PPR points.
Brock Bowers: his 90th-percentile outcome is 25 PPR points against 24 for T.J. Hockenson, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Brock Bowers: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Bowers 13.9, Hockenson 12.7; half-PPR: Bowers 11.2, Hockenson 10.0; standard: Bowers 8.4, Hockenson 7.3 (points if he plays).