Edgehalla

2026 season · Week 5 · TE

Brock Bowers vs T.J. Hockenson: Who Should I Start in Week 5?

Start Bowers over Hockenson in PPR. Projects 13.9 vs 12.7 PPR points.

Side-by-side comparison

Scoring
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Start Bowers over Hockenson in PPR

StartTE1 · #2
Brock BowersBrock BowersLVTE@ NE

13.9 PPR pts

425

Floor 4 · median 12.5 · ceiling 25

Plays
98%
Implied total
21.0 (dog by 3.5)
Matchup
Tough · 8th
Target share
23%▼20

Projects 13.9 vs 12.7 PPR points.

Low
FlexTE1 · #4
T.J. HockensonT.J. HockensonMINTE@ NO

12.7 PPR pts

324

Floor 3 · median 11.0 · ceiling 24

Plays
98%
Implied total
22.0 (fav by 1.5)
Matchup
Neutral · 18th
Target share
39%▲20

Projects 12.7 vs 13.9 PPR points.

Medium

Add more players in Who Should I StartBrock Bowers stats and usageT.J. Hockenson stats and usageAll Week 5 projections

How this works

Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.

Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology

Frequently asked questions

Should I start Brock Bowers or T.J. Hockenson in Week 5?

Start Bowers over Hockenson in PPR. Projects 13.9 vs 12.7 PPR points.

Who has the higher ceiling, Brock Bowers or T.J. Hockenson?

Brock Bowers: his 90th-percentile outcome is 25 PPR points against 24 for T.J. Hockenson, from 2,000 simulated games each.

Who is the safer start, Brock Bowers or T.J. Hockenson?

Brock Bowers: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.

What are Brock Bowers's and T.J. Hockenson's Week 5 projections?

PPR: Bowers 13.9, Hockenson 12.7; half-PPR: Bowers 11.2, Hockenson 10.0; standard: Bowers 8.4, Hockenson 7.3 (points if he plays).