13.6 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.2 · ceiling 25
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 21.3 (dog by 3)
- Matchup
- Tough · 5th
- Target share
- 10%▼16
Projects 13.6 vs 12.6 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · WR
Start Watson over Doubs in PPR. Projects 13.6 vs 12.6 PPR points.
13.6 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.2 · ceiling 25
Projects 13.6 vs 12.6 PPR points.
Medium12.6 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 11.0 · ceiling 24
Projects 12.6 vs 13.6 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartChristian Watson stats and usageRomeo Doubs stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Watson over Doubs in PPR. Projects 13.6 vs 12.6 PPR points.
Christian Watson: his 90th-percentile outcome is 25 PPR points against 24 for Romeo Doubs, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Christian Watson: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Watson 13.6, Doubs 12.6; half-PPR: Watson 11.3, Doubs 10.5; standard: Watson 9.1, Doubs 8.5 (points if he plays).