2026 season · Week 5 · WR
Toss-up between Doubs and Diggs in PPR. Too close to call: 12.3 vs 12.3 projected PPR points; Diggs's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (18% → 25%). In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Doubs. In standard scoring the call flips to Doubs.
Romeo DoubsNEWRvs LV12.6 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 11.0 · ceiling 24
Too close to call: 12.3 vs 12.3 projected PPR points; Diggs's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (18% → 25%).
Medium
Stefon DiggsWASWRvs NYG12.6 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 11.1 · ceiling 24
Too close to call: 12.3 vs 12.3 projected PPR points; Diggs's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (18% → 25%).
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartRomeo Doubs stats and usageStefon Diggs stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Doubs and Diggs in PPR. Too close to call: 12.3 vs 12.3 projected PPR points; Diggs's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (18% → 25%). In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Doubs. In standard scoring the call flips to Doubs.
Romeo Doubs: his 90th-percentile outcome is 24 PPR points against 24 for Stefon Diggs, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Stefon Diggs: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Doubs 12.6, Diggs 12.6; half-PPR: Doubs 10.5, Diggs 10.2; standard: Doubs 8.5, Diggs 7.8 (points if he plays).
