StartTE1 · #5
George KittleSFTE@ SEA12.1 PPR pts
323
Floor 3 · median 10.6 · ceiling 23
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 22.3 (dog by 3)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 16th
- Target share
- 21%▲1
Projects 12.1 vs 10.9 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · TE
George Kittle vs Tyler Warren: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Start Kittle over Warren in PPR. Projects 12.1 vs 10.9 PPR points.
Side-by-side comparison
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Start Kittle over Warren in PPR
George KittleSFTE@ SEAFlexTE1 · #7
Tyler WarrenINDTE@ PIT10.9 PPR pts
321
Floor 3 · median 9.8 · ceiling 21
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 21.0 (dog by 2.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 24th
- Target share
- 17%▼6
Projects 10.9 vs 12.1 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartGeorge Kittle stats and usageTyler Warren stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start George Kittle or Tyler Warren in Week 5?
Start Kittle over Warren in PPR. Projects 12.1 vs 10.9 PPR points.
Who has the higher ceiling, George Kittle or Tyler Warren?
George Kittle: his 90th-percentile outcome is 23 PPR points against 21 for Tyler Warren, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, George Kittle or Tyler Warren?
Tyler Warren: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are George Kittle's and Tyler Warren's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Kittle 12.1, Warren 10.9; half-PPR: Kittle 9.8, Warren 8.5; standard: Kittle 7.5, Warren 6.1 (points if he plays).