FlexTE1 · #8
Juwan JohnsonNOTEvs MIN10.6 PPR pts
320
Floor 3 · median 9.4 · ceiling 20
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 20.5 (dog by 1.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 10th
- Target share
- 17%▲2
Projects 10.6 vs 10.9 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · TE
Juwan Johnson vs Tyler Warren: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Start Warren over Johnson in PPR. Projects 10.9 vs 10.6 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
Side-by-side comparison
Scoring
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Start Warren over Johnson in PPR
Juwan JohnsonNOTEvs MINStartTE1 · #7
Tyler WarrenINDTE@ PIT10.9 PPR pts
321
Floor 3 · median 9.8 · ceiling 21
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 21.0 (dog by 2.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 24th
- Target share
- 17%▼6
Projects 10.9 vs 10.6 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartJuwan Johnson stats and usageTyler Warren stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start Juwan Johnson or Tyler Warren in Week 5?
Start Warren over Johnson in PPR. Projects 10.9 vs 10.6 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
Who has the higher ceiling, Juwan Johnson or Tyler Warren?
Tyler Warren: his 90th-percentile outcome is 21 PPR points against 20 for Juwan Johnson, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, Juwan Johnson or Tyler Warren?
Tyler Warren: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are Juwan Johnson's and Tyler Warren's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Johnson 10.6, Warren 10.9; half-PPR: Johnson 8.4, Warren 8.5; standard: Johnson 6.2, Warren 6.1 (points if he plays).