StartTE1 · #5
George KittleSFTE@ SEA12.1 PPR pts
323
Floor 3 · median 10.6 · ceiling 23
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 22.3 (dog by 3)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 16th
- Target share
- 21%▲1
Projects 12.1 vs 11.1 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · TE
George Kittle vs Isaiah Likely: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Start Kittle over Likely in PPR. Projects 12.1 vs 11.1 PPR points.
Side-by-side comparison
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Start Kittle over Likely in PPR
George KittleSFTE@ SEAFlexTE1 · #6
Isaiah LikelyNYGTE@ WAS11.1 PPR pts
321
Floor 3 · median 10.1 · ceiling 21
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 20.3 (dog by 3)
- Matchup
- Soft · 31st
- Target share
- 41%▲14
Projects 11.1 vs 12.1 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartGeorge Kittle stats and usageIsaiah Likely stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start George Kittle or Isaiah Likely in Week 5?
Start Kittle over Likely in PPR. Projects 12.1 vs 11.1 PPR points.
Who has the higher ceiling, George Kittle or Isaiah Likely?
George Kittle: his 90th-percentile outcome is 23 PPR points against 21 for Isaiah Likely, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, George Kittle or Isaiah Likely?
George Kittle: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are George Kittle's and Isaiah Likely's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Kittle 12.1, Likely 11.1; half-PPR: Kittle 9.8, Likely 8.7; standard: Kittle 7.5, Likely 6.4 (points if he plays).