StartRB1 · #3
Javonte WilliamsDALRBvs TB20.5 PPR pts
835
Floor 8 · median 18.8 · ceiling 35
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 28.5 (fav by 9.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 18th
- Snap share
- 74%▼2
Projects 20.5 vs 20.2 PPR points; 17.6 projected carries.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Javonte Williams vs Kyren Williams: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Start Williams over Williams in PPR. Projects 20.5 vs 20.2 PPR points; 17.6 projected carries.
Side-by-side comparison
Scoring
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Start Williams over Williams in PPR
Javonte WilliamsDALRBvs TBFlexRB1 · #4
Kyren WilliamsLARRBvs BUF20.1 PPR pts
834
Floor 8 · median 18.5 · ceiling 34
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 28.5 (fav by 2.5)
- Matchup
- Soft · 29th
- Snap share
- 83%▲20
Projects 20.2 vs 20.5 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartJavonte Williams stats and usageKyren Williams stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start Javonte Williams or Kyren Williams in Week 5?
Start Williams over Williams in PPR. Projects 20.5 vs 20.2 PPR points; 17.6 projected carries.
Who has the higher ceiling, Javonte Williams or Kyren Williams?
Javonte Williams: his 90th-percentile outcome is 35 PPR points against 34 for Kyren Williams, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, Javonte Williams or Kyren Williams?
Kyren Williams: a floor (10th percentile) of 8 PPR points vs 8, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are Javonte Williams's and Kyren Williams's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Williams 20.5, Williams 20.2; half-PPR: Williams 19.3, Williams 18.6; standard: Williams 18.1, Williams 17.0 (points if he plays).