Fantasy tools
Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Monday, Apr 6
Data updated:
Top 10 stacks
Trevor Moore8.9%, Quinton Byfield85%, Alex Laferriere67%
Matchup factors →Anze Kopitar0.4%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin98%
Matchup factors →Teuvo Teravainen11%, Connor Bedard97%, Nick Lardis22%
Matchup factors →Tyler Bertuzzi56%, Ilya Mikheyev7.5%, Anton Frondell70%
Matchup factors →Teuvo Teravainen11%, Tyler Bertuzzi56%, Frank Nazar50%, Connor Bedard97%, Anton Frondell70%
Matchup factors →Mark Scheifele100%, Kyle Connor99%, Alex Iafallo5.0%
Matchup factors →Steven Stamkos94%, Roman Josi98%, Ryan O'Reilly83%, Jonathan Marchessault21%, Filip Forsberg99%
Matchup factors →Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%, Collin Graf26%
Matchup factors →Jason Zucker22%, Tage Thompson100%, Josh Norris37%, Rasmus Dahlin100%, Jack Quinn51%
Matchup factors →Jordan Eberle42%, Jared McCann75%, Matty Beniers51%
Matchup factors →
By game
TBL @ BUF
Jason Zucker22%, Tage Thompson100%, Josh Norris37%, Rasmus Dahlin100%, Jack Quinn51%
3.5 min/game · 8.16 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TBL shorthanded time +2%
- TBL PK xGA/60 −6%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .19
Nikita Kucherov100%, Jake Guentzel100%, Brayden Point95%
7.1 min/game · 3.63 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- BUF 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Yanni Gourde4.9%, Zemgus Girgensons3.3%, Pontus Holmberg0.1%
10.1 min/game · 2.41 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- BUF 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Jason Zucker22%, Ryan McLeod24%, Jack Quinn51%
7.8 min/game · 3.29 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TBL 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Oliver Bjorkstrand19%, Anthony Cirelli49%, Gage Goncalves10%
5.9 min/game · 3.29 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- BUF 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Corey Perry6.6%, Nick Paul7.3%, Mitchell Chaffee0.0%
5.7 min/game · 2.53 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- BUF 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Jordan Greenway0.3%, Beck Malenstyn4.1%, Tyson Kozak3.2%
7.2 min/game · 1.72 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%
- TBL 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Josh Norris37%, Josh Doan59%, Zach Benson55%
9.4 min/game · 3.47 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- TBL 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Alex Tuch94%, Tage Thompson100%, Peyton Krebs17%
11.3 min/game · 2.82 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- TBL 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .26
Nikita Kucherov100%, Jake Guentzel100%, Brayden Point95%, Darren Raddysh99%, Brandon Hagel100%
5.8 min/game · 7.85 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- BUF shorthanded time −3%
- BUF PK xGA/60 −1%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .20
SEA @ WPG
Mark Scheifele100%, Kyle Connor99%, Alex Iafallo5.0%
12.7 min/game · 2.45 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Jordan Eberle42%, Jared McCann75%, Matty Beniers51%
10.9 min/game · 2.62 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- WPG 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Adam Lowry11%, Gabriel Vilardi79%, Cole Perfetti78%
11.3 min/game · 2.38 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Chandler Stephenson23%, Kaapo Kakko21%, Bobby McMann49%
9.3 min/game · 2.09 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- WPG 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Mark Scheifele100%, Josh Morrissey98%, Kyle Connor99%, Gabriel Vilardi79%, Cole Perfetti78%
1.7 min/game · 7.86 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA shorthanded time −18%
- SEA PK xGA/60 +15%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .19
Jonathan Toews0.3%, Cole Koepke0.0%, Brad Lambert15%
6.9 min/game · 2.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Eeli Tolvanen42%, Jacob Melanson7.2%, Oscar Fisker Molgaard5.6%
5.9 min/game · 3.71 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- WPG 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- Together 1 of last 3
Jaden Schwartz21%, Frederick Gaudreau3.3%, Berkly Catton31%
8.6 min/game · 2.21 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- WPG 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Jordan Eberle42%, Chandler Stephenson23%, Jared McCann75%, Vince Dunn91%, Bobby McMann49%
1.4 min/game · 5.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- WPG shorthanded time −11%
- WPG PK xGA/60 −2%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .20
Isak Rosen14%, Danil Zhilkin0.1%, Parker Ford0.0%
4.9 min/game · 1.83 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 1 of last 3
CHI @ SJS
Teuvo Teravainen11%, Connor Bedard97%, Nick Lardis22%
9.2 min/game · 4.15 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Tyler Bertuzzi56%, Ilya Mikheyev7.5%, Anton Frondell70%
11.4 min/game · 2.75 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Teuvo Teravainen11%, Tyler Bertuzzi56%, Frank Nazar50%, Connor Bedard97%, Anton Frondell70%
3.2 min/game · 9.55 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SJS shorthanded time +25%
- SJS PK xGA/60 +11%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%, Collin Graf26%
10.3 min/game · 2.79 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +13%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Alexander Wennberg23%, Kiefer Sherwood57%, William Eklund77%
10.2 min/game · 2.10 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +13%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Dmitry Orlov30%, Tyler Toffoli37%, Alexander Wennberg23%, Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%
2.8 min/game · 7.91 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CHI shorthanded time +5%
- CHI PK xGA/60 −1%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .21
Ryan Donato9.0%, Ryan Greene9.6%, Frank Nazar50%
7.4 min/game · 2.23 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Andre Burakovsky5.6%, Landon Slaggert0.0%, Sacha Boisvert15%
5.8 min/game · 2.80 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%
- SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- Together 1 of last 3
Barclay Goodrow0.1%, Adam Gaudette0.1%, Zack Ostapchuk3.2%
6.5 min/game · 1.46 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +13%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Tyler Toffoli37%, Ty Dellandrea3.2%, Michael Misa57%
6.8 min/game · 3.72 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +13%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
NSH @ LAK
Trevor Moore8.9%, Quinton Byfield85%, Alex Laferriere67%
12.8 min/game · 2.95 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- NSH 5v5 xGA/60 +3%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Anze Kopitar0.4%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin98%
11.5 min/game · 3.03 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- NSH 5v5 xGA/60 +3%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Steven Stamkos94%, Roman Josi98%, Ryan O'Reilly83%, Jonathan Marchessault21%, Filip Forsberg99%
3.6 min/game · 8.97 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- LAK shorthanded time −6%
- LAK PK xGA/60 −12%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .21
Anze Kopitar0.4%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin98%, Alex Laferriere67%, Brandt Clarke95%
3.9 min/game · 7.08 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- NSH shorthanded time +10%
- NSH PK xGA/60 −3%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .19
Joel Armia3.3%, Scott Laughton4.8%, Jared Wright0.0%
8.3 min/game · 2.99 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- NSH 5v5 xGA/60 +3%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Steven Stamkos94%, Ryan O'Reilly83%, Zachary L'Heureux11%
8.8 min/game · 2.94 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Erik Haula12%, Jonathan Marchessault21%, Filip Forsberg99%
5.6 min/game · 2.08 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Fedor Svechkov8.0%, Joakim Kemell15%, Reid Schaefer6.4%
6.3 min/game · 1.77 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Tyson Jost0.0%, Luke Evangelista70%, Matthew Wood31%
4.3 min/game · 1.97 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Mathieu Joseph3.2%, Samuel Helenius3.2%, Taylor Ward0.0%
5.0 min/game · 1.47 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- NSH 5v5 xGA/60 +3%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
How it works
- Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
- Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
- Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
- Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
- Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.
Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model
Frequently asked questions
What is a stack in fantasy hockey?
A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.
How are stacks ranked?
Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.
Where do the lines come from?
From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.
Why does it say "shot-based"?
While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.