Fantasy tools
Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Friday, Apr 24
Data updated:
Top 10 stacks
Zach Hyman95%, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins75%, Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Evan Bouchard100%
Matchup factors →Nick Suzuki100%, Cole Caufield100%, Lane Hutson99%, Juraj Slafkovský98%, Ivan Demidov91%
Matchup factors →Mark Stone93%, Tomas Hertl85%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%, Pavel Dorofeyev93%
Matchup factors →Nick Suzuki100%, Cole Caufield100%, Juraj Slafkovský98%
Matchup factors →Zach Hyman95%, Connor McDavid100%, Matt Savoie36%
Matchup factors →Jake Guentzel100%, Anthony Cirelli49%, Brandon Hagel99%
Matchup factors →Leon Draisaitl100%, Kasperi Kapanen16%, Vasily Podkolzin83%
Matchup factors →Nikita Kucherov100%, Jake Guentzel100%, Brayden Point95%, Darren Raddysh98%, Brandon Hagel99%
Matchup factors →Alex Killorn5.1%, Mikael Granlund53%, Beckett Sennecke95%
Matchup factors →Nick Schmaltz96%, Lawson Crouse34%, Clayton Keller100%
Matchup factors →
By game
TBL @ MTL
Nick Suzuki100%, Cole Caufield100%, Lane Hutson99%, Juraj Slafkovský98%, Ivan Demidov91%
5.6 min/game · 8.94 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TBL shorthanded time +3%
- TBL PK xGA/60 −9%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .20
Nick Suzuki100%, Cole Caufield100%, Juraj Slafkovský98%
12.8 min/game · 3.13 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TBL 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Jake Guentzel100%, Anthony Cirelli49%, Brandon Hagel99%
8.8 min/game · 3.96 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- MTL 5v5 xGA/60 +8%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Nikita Kucherov100%, Jake Guentzel100%, Brayden Point95%, Darren Raddysh98%, Brandon Hagel99%
4.5 min/game · 7.84 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- MTL shorthanded time +9%
- MTL PK xGA/60 +5%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .20
Nikita Kucherov100%, Brayden Point95%, Gage Goncalves10%
6.8 min/game · 3.60 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- MTL 5v5 xGA/60 +8%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Alexandre Texier4.9%, Alex Newhook25%, Ivan Demidov91%
9.2 min/game · 2.16 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TBL 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Phillip Danault4.9%, Josh Anderson11%, Jake Evans4.9%
9.0 min/game · 2.02 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- TBL 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Kirby Dach11%, Zachary Bolduc23%, Oliver Kapanen28%
6.7 min/game · 2.29 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TBL 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Yanni Gourde4.9%, Zemgus Girgensons3.3%, Nick Paul7.3%
7.4 min/game · 1.83 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- MTL 5v5 xGA/60 +8%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Corey Perry6.6%, Conor Geekie20%, Dominic James5.6%
5.8 min/game · 1.96 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- MTL 5v5 xGA/60 +8%
- Together 1 of last 3
VGK @ UTA
Mark Stone93%, Tomas Hertl85%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%, Pavel Dorofeyev93%
3.4 min/game · 10.94 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA shorthanded time +4%
- UTA PK xGA/60 +4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Nick Schmaltz96%, Lawson Crouse34%, Clayton Keller100%
9.6 min/game · 3.01 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VGK 5v5 xGA/60 −9%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Kailer Yamamoto0.2%, Dylan Guenther100%, Logan Cooley94%
8.7 min/game · 3.61 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- VGK 5v5 xGA/60 −9%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Alexander Kerfoot3.2%, Michael Carcone6.6%, JJ Peterka77%
8.8 min/game · 2.63 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VGK 5v5 xGA/60 −9%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Nick Schmaltz96%, Clayton Keller100%, Mikhail Sergachev98%, Dylan Guenther100%, Logan Cooley94%
3.4 min/game · 8.93 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%
- VGK shorthanded time −6%
- VGK PK xGA/60 −11%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .21
Mark Stone93%, Ivan Barbashev66%, Jack Eichel99%
5.4 min/game · 3.21 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Liam O'Brien0.1%, Kevin Stenlund0.1%, Brandon Tanev0.1%
7.1 min/game · 2.20 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- VGK 5v5 xGA/60 −9%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Reilly Smith, Tomas Hertl85%, Keegan Kolesar5.1%
5.6 min/game · 2.26 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Nic Dowd3.2%, Colton Sissons3.3%, Cole Smith0.1%
5.3 min/game · 2.12 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Mitch Marner99%, Brett Howden15%, Pavel Dorofeyev93%
4.4 min/game · 1.96 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
EDM @ ANA
Zach Hyman95%, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins75%, Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Evan Bouchard100%
5.1 min/game · 10.36 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- ANA shorthanded time +3%
- ANA PK xGA/60 +3%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .20
Zach Hyman95%, Connor McDavid100%, Matt Savoie36%
9.2 min/game · 3.52 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- ANA 5v5 xGA/60 +11%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Leon Draisaitl100%, Kasperi Kapanen16%, Vasily Podkolzin83%
11.5 min/game · 2.94 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- ANA 5v5 xGA/60 +11%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Alex Killorn5.1%, Mikael Granlund53%, Beckett Sennecke95%
8.6 min/game · 3.07 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- EDM 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
John Carlson98%, Chris Kreider63%, Mikael Granlund53%, Troy Terry46%, Leo Carlsson95%
1.3 min/game · 9.09 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- EDM shorthanded time −14%
- EDM PK xGA/60 +5%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .20
Chris Kreider63%, Troy Terry46%, Leo Carlsson95%
10.8 min/game · 3.42 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- EDM 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Trent Frederic4.9%, Colton Dach10%, Josh Samanski3.2%
10.4 min/game · 3.11 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- ANA 5v5 xGA/60 +11%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Ryan Poehling6.7%, Mason McTavish51%, Cutter Gauthier98%
8.3 min/game · 2.08 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- EDM 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins75%, Jason Dickinson3.2%, Jack Roslovic33%
4.6 min/game · 2.57 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- ANA 5v5 xGA/60 +11%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
How it works
- Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
- Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
- Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
- Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
- Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.
Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model
Frequently asked questions
What is a stack in fantasy hockey?
A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.
How are stacks ranked?
Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.
Where do the lines come from?
From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.
Why does it say "shot-based"?
While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.