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NHL Stack Finder: Wednesday, Nov 11

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Wednesday, Nov 11 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: PIT L1 (Malkin–Novak–Chinakhov) vs SJS.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1PITL1vs SJS0.72 xG

    Evgeni Malkin84%, Tommy Novak21%, Egor Chinakhov49%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2EDML1vs PHI0.68 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin78%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3PITL2vs SJS0.60 xG

    Sidney Crosby100%, Rickard Rakell82%, Nick Robertson31%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4UTAL1vs VGK0.56 xG

    Vincent Trocheck89%, Nick Schmaltz95%, Clayton Keller100%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5NYRL1vs CGY0.55 xG

    Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière81%, Gabe Perreault54%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6UTAL2vs VGK0.51 xG

    Anders Lee29%, Dylan Guenther99%, Logan Cooley94%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7BUFL1vs TBL0.51 xG

    Jack Quinn47%, Noah Ostlund26%, Zach Benson56%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8VGKL3vs UTA0.50 xG

    Tomas Hertl84%, Victor Olofsson15%, Trevor Connelly34%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9VGKL2vs UTA0.50 xG

    Mark Stone93%, Ivan Barbashev68%, Jack Eichel99%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10SJSL1vs PIT0.45 xG

    Mason Marchment47%, Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%

    Matchup factors →

By game

TBL @ BUF

NYR @ CGY

PHI @ EDM

UTA @ VGK

NSH @ ANA

PIT @ SJS

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.