2026 season · Week 5 · QB

Aaron Rodgers vs Brock Purdy: Who Should I Start in Week 5?

Start Rodgers over Purdy in PPR. SEA allows the 5th-fewest QB points; Projects 16.9 vs 16.5 PPR points.

Scoring

Start Rodgers over Purdy in PPR

StartQB1 · #10

Aaron RodgersPITQBvs IND

16.9 PPR pts

728

Floor 7 · median 15.8 · ceiling 28

Plays: 98%
Implied total: 23.5 (fav by 2.5)
Matchup: Neutral · 23rd
Usage: –

SEA allows the 5th-fewest QB points; Projects 16.9 vs 16.5 PPR points.

Medium

FlexQB1 · #11

Brock PurdySFQB@ SEA

16.5 PPR pts

727

Floor 7 · median 15.6 · ceiling 27

Plays: 98%
Implied total: 22.3 (dog by 3)
Matchup: Tough · 5th
Usage: –

SEA allows the 5th-fewest QB points; Projects 16.5 vs 16.9 PPR points.

Medium

Add more players in Who Should I Start Aaron Rodgers stats and usage Brock Purdy stats and usage All Week 5 projections

How this works

Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.

Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology

Frequently asked questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Brock Purdy in Week 5?

Start Rodgers over Purdy in PPR. SEA allows the 5th-fewest QB points; Projects 16.9 vs 16.5 PPR points.

Who has the higher ceiling, Aaron Rodgers or Brock Purdy?

Aaron Rodgers: his 90th-percentile outcome is 28 PPR points against 27 for Brock Purdy, from 2,000 simulated games each.

Who is the safer start, Aaron Rodgers or Brock Purdy?

Aaron Rodgers: a floor (10th percentile) of 7 PPR points vs 7, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.

What are Aaron Rodgers's and Brock Purdy's Week 5 projections?

PPR: Rodgers 16.9, Purdy 16.5; half-PPR: Rodgers 16.9, Purdy 16.5; standard: Rodgers 16.9, Purdy 16.5 (points if he plays).

Side-by-side comparison