FlexQB1 · #11
Brock PurdySFQB@ SEA16.5 PPR pts
727
Floor 7 · median 15.6 · ceiling 27
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 22.3 (dog by 3)
- Matchup
- Tough · 5th
- Usage
- –
SEA allows the 5th-fewest QB points; Projects 16.5 vs 17.2 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · QB
Brock Purdy vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Start Lawrence over Purdy in PPR. SEA allows the 5th-fewest QB points; Projects 17.2 vs 16.5 PPR points.
Side-by-side comparison
Scoring
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Start Lawrence over Purdy in PPR
Brock PurdySFQB@ SEAStartQB1 · #9
Trevor LawrenceJAXQBvs PHI17.2 PPR pts
828
Floor 8 · median 15.9 · ceiling 28
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 24.5 (fav by 6.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 19th
- Usage
- –
SEA allows the 5th-fewest QB points; Projects 17.2 vs 16.5 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartBrock Purdy stats and usageTrevor Lawrence stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start Brock Purdy or Trevor Lawrence in Week 5?
Start Lawrence over Purdy in PPR. SEA allows the 5th-fewest QB points; Projects 17.2 vs 16.5 PPR points.
Who has the higher ceiling, Brock Purdy or Trevor Lawrence?
Trevor Lawrence: his 90th-percentile outcome is 28 PPR points against 27 for Brock Purdy, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, Brock Purdy or Trevor Lawrence?
Trevor Lawrence: a floor (10th percentile) of 8 PPR points vs 7, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are Brock Purdy's and Trevor Lawrence's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Purdy 16.5, Lawrence 17.2; half-PPR: Purdy 16.5, Lawrence 17.2; standard: Purdy 16.5, Lawrence 17.2 (points if he plays).