2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Toss-up between Kamara and Skattebo in PPR. Too close to call: 10.8 vs 11.0 projected PPR points; Kamara's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (29% → 38%); MIN allows the fewest RB points. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Skattebo. In standard scoring the call flips to Skattebo.
Alvin KamaraNORBvs MIN12.4 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 11.1 · ceiling 22
Too close to call: 10.8 vs 11.0 projected PPR points; Kamara's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (29% → 38%); MIN allows the fewest RB points.
Low
Cam SkatteboNYGRB@ WAS11.2 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 10.1 · ceiling 21
Too close to call: 11.0 vs 10.8 projected PPR points; Kamara's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (29% → 38%); MIN allows the fewest RB points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartAlvin Kamara stats and usageCam Skattebo stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Kamara and Skattebo in PPR. Too close to call: 10.8 vs 11.0 projected PPR points; Kamara's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (29% → 38%); MIN allows the fewest RB points. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Skattebo. In standard scoring the call flips to Skattebo.
Alvin Kamara: his 90th-percentile outcome is 22 PPR points against 21 for Cam Skattebo, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Alvin Kamara: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 4, and a 87% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Kamara 12.4, Skattebo 11.2; half-PPR: Kamara 10.9, Skattebo 10.2; standard: Kamara 9.4, Skattebo 9.3 (points if he plays).
