2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Toss-up between Skattebo and Wilson in PPR. Too close to call: 11.0 vs 11.1 projected PPR points; a 20.3 implied team total vs 25.3; SF allows the 6th-most RB points. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Wilson. In standard scoring the call flips to Wilson.
Cam SkatteboNYGRB@ WAS11.2 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 10.1 · ceiling 21
Too close to call: 11.0 vs 11.1 projected PPR points; a 20.3 implied team total vs 25.3; SF allows the 6th-most RB points.
Medium
Emanuel WilsonSEARBvs SF12.8 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 11.5 · ceiling 23
Too close to call: 11.1 vs 11.0 projected PPR points; a 25.3 implied team total vs 20.3; SF allows the 6th-most RB points.
LowAdd more players in Who Should I StartCam Skattebo stats and usageEmanuel Wilson stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Skattebo and Wilson in PPR. Too close to call: 11.0 vs 11.1 projected PPR points; a 20.3 implied team total vs 25.3; SF allows the 6th-most RB points. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Wilson. In standard scoring the call flips to Wilson.
Emanuel Wilson: his 90th-percentile outcome is 23 PPR points against 21 for Cam Skattebo, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Emanuel Wilson: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 4, and a 87% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Skattebo 11.2, Wilson 12.8; half-PPR: Skattebo 10.2, Wilson 12.2; standard: Skattebo 9.3, Wilson 11.6 (points if he plays).
