2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Start Stevenson over Harvey in PPR. Stevenson's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (36% → 66%); Expected 13.5 vs 11.6 PPR points after the chance to play.
Rhamondre StevensonNERBvs LV13.7 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.4 · ceiling 25
Stevenson's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (36% → 66%); Expected 13.5 vs 11.6 PPR points after the chance to play.
Medium
RJ HarveyDENRB@ LAC13.4 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.1 · ceiling 24
Stevenson's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (36% → 66%); Expected 11.6 vs 13.5 PPR points after the chance to play.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartRhamondre Stevenson stats and usageRJ Harvey stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Stevenson over Harvey in PPR. Stevenson's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (36% → 66%); Expected 13.5 vs 11.6 PPR points after the chance to play.
Rhamondre Stevenson: his 90th-percentile outcome is 25 PPR points against 24 for RJ Harvey, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Rhamondre Stevenson: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 4, and a 98% chance to play vs 87%.
PPR: Stevenson 13.7, Harvey 13.4; half-PPR: Stevenson 12.4, Harvey 11.6; standard: Stevenson 11.0, Harvey 9.9 (points if he plays).
