2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Start Stevenson over Irving in PPR. Stevenson's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (36% → 66%); a 24.5 implied team total vs 19.0; Projects 13.7 vs 12.6 PPR points.
Bucky IrvingTBRB@ DAL12.6 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 11.5 · ceiling 23
Stevenson's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (36% → 66%); a 19.0 implied team total vs 24.5; Projects 12.6 vs 13.7 PPR points.
Medium
Rhamondre StevensonNERBvs LV13.7 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.4 · ceiling 25
Stevenson's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (36% → 66%); a 24.5 implied team total vs 19.0; Projects 13.7 vs 12.6 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartBucky Irving stats and usageRhamondre Stevenson stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Stevenson over Irving in PPR. Stevenson's snap share has risen 2 straight weeks (36% → 66%); a 24.5 implied team total vs 19.0; Projects 13.7 vs 12.6 PPR points.
Rhamondre Stevenson: his 90th-percentile outcome is 25 PPR points against 23 for Bucky Irving, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Rhamondre Stevenson: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 4, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Irving 12.6, Stevenson 13.7; half-PPR: Irving 11.4, Stevenson 12.4; standard: Irving 10.2, Stevenson 11.0 (points if he plays).
