2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Start Irving over Montgomery in PPR. Scoring decides it: in standard Montgomery would project ahead (0.3 points); DAL allows the 2nd-most RB points; Projects 12.6 vs 11.9 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring the call flips to Montgomery.
Bucky IrvingTBRB@ DAL12.6 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 11.5 · ceiling 23
Scoring decides it: in standard Montgomery would project ahead (0.3 points); DAL allows the 2nd-most RB points; Projects 12.6 vs 11.9 PPR points.
Medium
David MontgomeryHOURB@ TEN11.9 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 10.8 · ceiling 22
Scoring decides it: in standard Montgomery would project ahead (0.3 points); DAL allows the 2nd-most RB points; Projects 11.9 vs 12.6 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartBucky Irving stats and usageDavid Montgomery stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Irving over Montgomery in PPR. Scoring decides it: in standard Montgomery would project ahead (0.3 points); DAL allows the 2nd-most RB points; Projects 12.6 vs 11.9 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring the call flips to Montgomery.
Bucky Irving: his 90th-percentile outcome is 23 PPR points against 22 for David Montgomery, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Bucky Irving: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 4, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Irving 12.6, Montgomery 11.9; half-PPR: Irving 11.4, Montgomery 11.2; standard: Irving 10.2, Montgomery 10.6 (points if he plays).
