2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Start Irving over Harvey in PPR. DAL allows the 2nd-most RB points; Expected 12.4 vs 11.6 PPR points after the chance to play.
Bucky IrvingTBRB@ DAL12.6 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 11.5 · ceiling 23
DAL allows the 2nd-most RB points; Expected 12.4 vs 11.6 PPR points after the chance to play.
Medium
RJ HarveyDENRB@ LAC13.4 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.1 · ceiling 24
DAL allows the 2nd-most RB points; Expected 11.6 vs 12.4 PPR points after the chance to play.
LowAdd more players in Who Should I StartBucky Irving stats and usageRJ Harvey stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Irving over Harvey in PPR. DAL allows the 2nd-most RB points; Expected 12.4 vs 11.6 PPR points after the chance to play.
RJ Harvey: his 90th-percentile outcome is 24 PPR points against 23 for Bucky Irving, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Bucky Irving: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 4, and a 98% chance to play vs 87%.
PPR: Irving 12.6, Harvey 13.4; half-PPR: Irving 11.4, Harvey 11.6; standard: Irving 10.2, Harvey 9.9 (points if he plays).
