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Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Wednesday, Mar 18

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Wednesday, Mar 18 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: STL L1 (Thomas–Holloway–Snuggerud) vs CGY.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1STLL1vs CGY0.81 xG

    Robert Thomas90%, Dylan Holloway92%, Jimmy Snuggerud78%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2CARL1vs PIT0.66 xG

    Sebastian Aho99%, Andrei Svechnikov97%, Seth Jarvis94%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3CARL2vs PIT0.63 xG

    Taylor Hall29%, Logan Stankoven72%, Jackson Blake71%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4OTTPP1vs WSH0.60 xG

    Thomas Chabot86%, Drake Batherson97%, Brady Tkachuk100%, Dylan Cozens88%, Tim Stützle99%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5DALL1vs COL0.58 xG

    Jason Robertson100%, Mavrik Bourque33%, Wyatt Johnston100%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6OTTL3vs WSH0.56 xG

    Brady Tkachuk100%, Dylan Cozens88%, Ridly Greig15%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7NJDL1vs NYR0.53 xG

    Timo Meier80%, Nico Hischier96%, Dawson Mercer23%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8NJDL3vs NYR0.49 xG

    Connor Brown5.8%, Jesper Bratt95%, Jack Hughes99%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9OTTL2vs WSH0.48 xG

    Claude Giroux32%, Drake Batherson97%, Tim Stützle99%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10NYRL1vs NJD0.48 xG

    Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière85%, Gabe Perreault59%

    Matchup factors →

By game

NJD @ NYR

PIT @ CAR

OTT @ WSH

DAL @ COL

STL @ CGY

PHI @ ANA

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.