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Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Friday, Mar 27

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Friday, Mar 27 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: NYR PP1 (Trocheck–Zibanejad–Miller–Fox–Lafrenière) vs CHI.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1NYRPP1vs CHI0.57 xG

    Vincent Trocheck87%, Mika Zibanejad98%, J.T. Miller91%, Adam Fox99%, Alexis Lafrenière85%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2CHIL1vs NYR0.56 xG

    Tyler Bertuzzi56%, Frank Nazar50%, Nick Lardis22%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3NYRL1vs CHI0.54 xG

    Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière85%, Gabe Perreault59%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4NYRL2vs CHI0.53 xG

    J.T. Miller91%, Conor Sheary0.1%, Tye Kartye8.1%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5BUFL1vs DET0.48 xG

    Alex Tuch94%, Tage Thompson100%, Peyton Krebs17%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6BUFL2vs DET0.46 xG

    Sam Carrick0.1%, Beck Malenstyn4.1%, Zach Benson55%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7BUFL3vs DET0.46 xG

    Jason Zucker22%, Ryan McLeod24%, Jack Quinn51%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8DETL1vs BUF0.45 xG

    Patrick Kane75%, J.T. Compher4.0%, Alex DeBrincat99%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9CHIL2vs NYR0.38 xG

    Ryan Greene9.6%, Connor Bedard97%, Anton Frondell70%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10BUFL4vs DET0.36 xG

    Josh Norris37%, Josh Doan59%, Noah Ostlund28%

    Matchup factors →

By game

DET @ BUF

CHI @ NYR

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.